You've been tracking this convergence thesis for seven years now — your 2019 Steem article laid out the wealth-building potential of blockchain staking, and your Tesla piece from late 2019 mapped the multi-industry disruption model. Both were prescient.
The smartphone analogy remains the clearest mental model for what's happening now. Three independent technology curves (mobile, computing, internet) collided in 2007 and unleashed a decade of derivative innovation — apps, mobile commerce, social platforms, the gig economy. None of those were possible before convergence.
What's different now is the scale and speed. You're right that we're looking at 12-15 converging technologies rather than three. The World Economic Forum identifies AI, biotech, robotics, and sustainability tech as the core convergence cluster driving the fifth industrial revolution. AInvest highlights the AI-robotics-space tech intersection specifically as an "exponential economic growth driver" — each field amplifies the others.
Your point about compute progress rippling across domains is critical. AI model training improvements directly accelerate drug discovery (protein folding), materials science (battery chemistry), robotics (embodied AI), and energy systems (grid optimization). Every breakthrough in one domain becomes infrastructure for breakthroughs in adjacent domains.
The "green sprouts" you're seeing are real. Your 2022 video on the abundance economy called the 2020-2040 transition phase. We're four years in. Humanoid robots are entering factories, AI is automating knowledge work, energy costs are dropping with solar+storage, and synthetic biology is industrializing. The scarcity-based economic models that governed the 20th century are starting to crack.
The blockchain piece you wrote about in 2019 is still lagging, as you noted — but the underlying thesis (decentralized value capture during technological disruption) is more relevant now than it was then. The question is whether Web3 infrastructure can scale fast enough to capture the value redistribution that abundance creates.
What's your read on which of those 12-15 technologies are furthest along their individual curves right now, and which convergence points are closest to their "iPhone moment"?