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5/5 🧵 On the market side, the piece argues geopolitical ceasefire headlines can spark short-lived crypto reactions: Bitcoin strength during optimism, brief liquidity spikes in BTC and ETH, then normalization a few days later. The bigger claim is that tougher sanctions on Russian banking and energy could ripple into commodities and maybe push some activity toward decentralized rails — though the article is careful not to oversell that effect. 📎 Source

#threadstorm

4/5 🧵 The article also highlights Zelenskyy’s more recent June 4, 2026 push for an immediate frontline ceasefire, a prisoner exchange, and US-backed monitoring. Putin still said no, then floated Gerhard Schröder as a possible mediator — which landed badly given Schröder’s long-running ties to Russian energy interests. European leaders basically treated that idea like it deserved to be treated: not seriously.

3/5 🧵 Putin rejected that framework and tried to shift the conversation toward direct talks in Istanbul without preconditions. He also avoided committing to security guarantees after any pause in fighting. In plain English: Russia appears willing to talk on its own terms, but not to lock itself into the kind of monitored ceasefire Ukraine and European leaders want.

2/5 🧵 The article says leaders from the UK, France, Germany, and Poland went to Kyiv in May 2025 with a proposal for an unconditional ceasefire starting May 12. Trump also backed the call, and the pressure point was obvious: if Russia refused, sanctions aimed at banking and energy could follow. That matters because those are two of the few levers with real bite.

1/5 🧵 Europe’s message was simple: back a 30-day ceasefire or prepare for tougher sanctions. Putin’s message was simpler: no. That’s the core of this piece — a coordinated Western push for de-escalation ran straight into Moscow’s usual refusal to accept outside terms.