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RE: Seychelles, the most-vaccinated place on Earth, is being overwhelmed by Covid-19

in Informationwar3 years ago

It looks a bit suspicious that the covid wave started right at the same time as the vaccination started. The Sinopharm vaccine is an inactivated virus, perhaps the "inactivation" was not good enough? It wouldn't be the first time, like polio is almost erradicated lest some few vaccine-induced cases.

There is another plausible theory as well ... I mean, just look up the Seychelles at the map, compared to most countries in Europe, they've had a trivial job securing the boarders and avoid getting Covid into the country in the first place. Now that most of the population is vaccinated, they've decided to open up the border and allow tourism. It's enough that one person carries the virus into the country, in a country where nobody expects to get infected it can spread like wildfire.

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They've been dealing with cases for 16 months, just like the rest of the world, so the theory that they're only just now getting exposed to the virus is silly. They've had cases all along, just not any deaths, and the rate of infection never got out of control like it is now. Tourism doesn't explain any of it.

According to your graphs, it seems to have been a handful of cases prior to December. I must admit I know nothing about the covid situation in the Seychelles, but to me it looks like they have had good control of the borders. Some few infected people have arrived, but due to a good quarantine and/or test regime (and/or sheer luck) it never got out of hand. (I know of towns in Norway on the same size, but with a free flow of domestic transportation where they've done a pretty good job on keeping things under control until January 2021).

From around December the situation internationally has changed a lot due to new mutations. With new mutations, and only a full lock down can prevent an exponential growth of new cases.

To me it seems very likely that this wave of infections comes arrived from abroad and entered Seychelles in December.