Horse racing - Follow the Tipster - 29th September

Yesterday's Recap - 28th September

Dubai Icon got a decent start and settled quickly into the race, chasing the leaders in third place until inside the final 3 furlongs, seemingly running well within himself. Drifted backwards from there and unfortunately pulled up very quickly after that and failed to finish. No news found at the moment as to the cause.

Tipster's Stats - Expert Eye (since start of competition) source

top3.jpg

Both the top two had losing picks yesterday so no change in the lead. A look down the leaderboard shows of the 53 tipsters listed only 10 are currently showing a profit, although 11th placed Glendale is only £0.13 in the red. The largest loss is held by Moorestyle of The Daily Star Sunday with a massive P&L of -£85.17 from his 159 NAP selections, not helped by his current 32 race losing streak. With only 15 winners his strike rate for the season is a mere 9.43%. This shows that not even the "experts" get it right all the time, and the huge amount of luck needed to pick a winner.

eestats.jpg

Daily Summary

DateSelectionOdds
Taken
ResultSP
Odds
WinningsWin/
Loss/NR
Strike
Rate
Profit/
(Loss)
Brought Forward25-74-425.25%£2.25
1st SeptemberAnother Romance5-11st11-2£0.6526-74-426.00%£2.80
2nd SeptemberMajestic Fighter7-24th7-2£0.0026-75-425.74%£2.70
3rd SeptemberFirst Ruler11-43rd7-2£0.0026-76-425.49%£2.60
4th SeptemberPink Crystal3-15th3-1£0.0026-77-425.24%£2.50
5th SeptemberWatch House Cross6-1Non Runner£0.0026-77-525.24%£2.50
6th SeptemberSirona8-112nd11-8£0.0026-78-525.00%£2.40
7th SeptemberShine On Brendan3-114th13-8f£0.0026-79-524.76%£2.30
8th SeptemberFlyawaydream5-22nd5-2£0.0026-80-524.07%£2.20
9th SeptemberNo UK Racing£2.20
10th SeptemberNo UK Racing£2.20
11th SeptemberJohan14-18th20-1£0.0026-81-524.30%£2.10
12th SeptemberRechercher3-14th3-1£0.0026-82-524.07%£2.00
13th SeptemberAdmiralty House7-210th5-1£0.0026-83-523.85%£1.90
14th SeptemberStorm Fox11-23rd11-2£0.0026-84-523.64%£1.80
15th SeptemberShimmering Sands7-4Non Runner£0.0026-84-623.64%£1.80
16th SeptemberGrantley Hall9-122nd11-1£0.0026-85-623.42%£1.70
17th SeptemberBielsa10-114th11-1£0.0026-86-623.21%£1.60
18th SeptemberBorntobealeader6/53rd6-5£0.0026-87-623.00%£1.50
19th SeptemberMidnight Toker2-12nd7-2£0.0026-88-622.81%£1.40
20th SeptemberKing Of Stars3-15th3-1£0.0026-89-622.61%£1.30
21st SeptemberKnightswood10-32nd10-3£0.0026-90-622.41%£1.20
22nd SeptemberOpen Champion2-15th2-1£0.0026-91-622.22%£1.10
23rd SeptemberTempus3-13rd3-1£0.0026-92-622.03%£1.00
24th SeptemberCeltic Champion3-1£0.0026-93-621.88%£0.90
25th SeptemberNew Pursuit5-21st5-2£0.3527-93-622.50%£1.15
26th SeptemberCavallo Pazzo2-14th9-1£0.0027-94-622.31%£1.05
27th SeptemberGeorgeville3-13rd6-1£0.0027-95-622.13%£0.95
28th SeptemberDubai Icon9-2PU9-2£0.0027-96-621.95%£0.85

29th September
30th September

Best Odds in BOLD

Monthly Summary
Total StakedTotal ReturnsTotal Profit/(Loss)Running TotalW-LStrike RateNR
May 2022£2.30£4.19£1.89£1.898-1436.36%
June 2022£3.00£3.01£0.01£1.904-2516.00%1
July 2022£2.70£3.62£0.92£2.828-1732.00%2
Aug 2022£2.40£1.83(£0.57)£2.255-1821.73%1
Sep 2022£2.60£1.20(£1.40)£0.852-247.69%2

Today's Bet - 29th September, 2022

SelectionEpic Express
Meeting & Race7.00 Chelmsford - Chelmsford City Racecourse Membership Handicap
DistanceGf
Age Group3yo+
Class5
TipsterExpert Eye
Draw7
No.of Runners12
SurfacePolytrack
GoingStandard
Rating67
JockeyGeorge Bass
TrainerChris Dwyer
Recent Form67949251
Odds Taken3-1
Stake£0.10
Bet TypeWin
Est. Return£0.40
Est. Profit£0.30
CommentsGrabbed his second win of the year here just 7 days ago over this distance. Handicapper penalised him quite heavily for that success, but jockey George Bass, in the saddle again, has mitigated that penalty slightly by making use of his claim allowance of 3lbs. A definite contender.

ftt2909.jpg

If you are following the strategy let me know how you're doing overall, what odds you got on this race?, were they better/worse than I took?. Do you have a strategy of your own? I'll send 100 SPORTS tokens if you leave a relevant comment.

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