Yup, I think splinterlands moving will show just how dead the blockchain is when most of the transactions are splinterlands ones. I think I have 3 weeks left on my powerdown. Only transactions on steem for me is withdrawals these days.
Not sure what services are actually left on steem now.
The Splinterlands move will mean Hive has far more transactions and active users than Steem. From what I can see people are just trying to get what rewards they can from Steem before it dies and there is very little social activity.