Week 20 Results | 21W-31L-2P | -0.015 Units Loss

in LeoFinance2 months ago

This is a weekly overview of my personal sports betting/trading results on teams from the Belgian Jupiler League, documenting my journey toward long-term profit with some insights on my overall approach.

The first half of the season has come to an end and there now is a 15-day Winter break before there are 4 Cup matches followed by week 21 of the league. Week 20 again was something of a rollercoaster that eventually ended break-even. As always there were 8 matches but this time they were spread out over 2 days with all 4 matches each day fully bradcast so 6+ full hours of football watching trying to stay focused which wasn't always easy. It's also one of the points where I clearly can improve upon as too often I tend to go a bit in Automatic Pilot as I have been doing this for so long instead of fully zoning in on what is happening and where to potentially find an edge.

Betting remains a bih challenge and it continues to include quite some variance even though that all evens out in the long run. One of the interesting matches was AA Gent vs Westerlo where it kind of made no sense for AA Gent to get a high odds +0 line but at the same time there is a pattern of the situations were this happens showing that the market was right. So it's the eternal battle between traditional handicapping and giving respect to the market which makes it a massive challenge to make profit.I would like to be in a spot where I can systematicallu pick high probability higher odds bets and stake huge amounts of them but this simply is not realistic at least not for me and I don't think it is for anyone really. So I'm down for the grind to slowly but surely work my way up toward profit season after season.


Pre-Game Preview Bets Season 2025-2026

I had 1 bigger bet with Stvv at a DNB line, which was actually quite straightforward, while at the same time, Standard took the lead while only after they got a red card, Stvv managed to get over it and win it. I kept my pre-game stake to 0.5 units which left me room to take extra after they fell behind. This match also saved my week. It's been a good strategy this season to keep these official selective as I'm up 3.971 units on them after 18 bets in 20 weeks.


Previous 5 Seasons Result


Aside from sharing my previews and bets on my Blog, I also cover all matches live in our SBC Discord Channel sharing all the bets I take. The main purpose is to stay sharp and keep myself accountable.

I take all my Pre-Game & Live bets with my Betting Broker Sportmarket Pro who always provides the best offers on the market with a 1 click solution and doesn't limit winning players offering high limits. For more info check my Sportmarket Pro Review


Season 2025-2026 Personal Betting Chart

I can be quite pleased with the chart this first part of the season which is pretty much going up in s straight line without too many swings. The main goal week after week is to get my average stakes up without exponentially increasing the risk. This will also be the aim going forward in 2026. At the same time, I still do regular withdrawals to cover some basic life expenses so it's not that my overall balance on sportmarket pro is only going up over the years. There are also the limits which is part of the reason why my average stake is rather low. I still bet a lot of corner bets (306 bets out of 885 this season) as I feel I have more edge there which often only allow a fraction of my stakes.


Regular Season Results 2025-2026

Week 20 Results 54 Bets | 21W-31L-02P | Staked 05.383u | -0.015u Loss
Week 19 Results 37 Bets | 16W-14L-07P | Staked 04.777u | +0.574u Profit
Week 18 Results 49 Bets | 27W-18L-04P | Staked 04.409u | +0.786u Profit
Week 17 Results 47 Bets | 21W-20L-06P | Staked 05.813u | -1.119u Loss
Week 16 Results 51 Bets | 34W-21L-06P | Staked 05.126u | +1.254u Profit
Week 15 Results 33 Bets | 12W-19L-02P | Staked 03.126u | +0.625u Profit
Week 14 Results 36 Bets | 17W-16L-03P | Staked 04.303u | -0.617u Loss
Week 13 Results 24 Bets | 09W-12L-03P | Staked 02.541u | -0.405u Loss
Week 12 Results 42 Bets | 10W-29L-03P | Staked 04.255u | -0.892u Loss
Week 11 Results 33 Bets | 09W-16L-08P | Staked 04.545u | +0.535u Profit
Week 10 Results 52 Bets | 16W-29L-07P | Staked 05.374u | +1.012u Profit
Week 09 Results 54 Bets | 20W-32L-02P | Staked 05.343u | +0.263u Profit
Week 08 Results 43 Bets | 20W-17L-06P | Staked 05.626u | -0.583u Loss
Week 07 Results 32 Bets | 10W-20L-02P | Staked 05.067u | -0.303u Loss
Week 06 Results 55 Bets | 30W-19L-06P | Staked 06.756u | +1.522u Profit
Week 05 Results 51 Bets | 25W-23L-03P | Staked 06.240u | +1.163u Profit
Week 04 Results 50 Bets | 20W-24L-06P | Staked 06.374u | -0.695u Loss
Week 03 Results 36 Bets | 22W-10L-04P | Staked 04.453u | +1.099u Profit
Week 02 Results 51 Bets | 20W-29L-02P | Staked 06.242u | -0.533u Loss
Week 01 Results 45 Bets | 18W-22L-05P | Staked 05.858u | +0.046u Profit

Total Season 2025-2026 Results
885 Bets | 379W-421L-85P | 101.612u Staked | +3.722u Profit | +3.66% ROI


Previous 8 Seasons...

Season 2024-2025 | 1676 Bets +1.04% ROI
Season 2023-2024 | 1132 Bets +1.83% ROI
Season 2022-2023 | 1598 Bets +4.71% ROI
Season 2021-2022 | 1364 Bets +2.72% ROI
Season 2020-2021 | 1504 Bets +4.37% ROI
Season 2019-2020 | 1406 Bets +2.48% ROI
Season 2018-2019 | 1090 Bets +2.47% ROI
Season 2017-2018 | 821 Bets +7.22% ROI


So from today there is a 15-day break and I'm already looking forward for the 2nd half of the season to resume. I will be back as always with more previews and weekly results recap posts...

Crypto & Blockchain-Based Bookies and Exchanges that I'm personally using with some allowing anonymous betting with no KYC or personal restrictions...
Sort:  

Congratulations @costanza! You have completed the following achievement on the Hive blockchain And have been rewarded with New badge(s)

You received more than 43000 HP as payout for your posts, comments and curation.
Your next payout target is 44000 HP.
The unit is Hive Power equivalent because post and comment rewards can be split into HP and HBD

You can view your badges on your board and compare yourself to others in the Ranking
If you no longer want to receive notifications, reply to this comment with the word STOP