A guy asks his friend, "who are you voting for?" The friend responds that he’s a Democrat, because his father was a Democrat and his grandfather was a Democrat. The guy says, "That's crazy! If you father had been a horse thief and your grandfather had been a horse thief, then what would you be?" The friend thinks about this a moment and then says,
“I guess then I’d be a Republican!”*
That is a very old joke, but it came to mind as there will be three generations of men from one family working on our house tomorrow, which is quite incredible in this day and age. Back in the day however, it was common that sons would take after their fathers, but it is generally not the case now, with many children trying to do something completely different. I think that the ability to diversify jobs is a testament to the rise of education systems, as well as a relaxing of class boundaries and some cronyism, as a child is no longer limited to the skills that they are able to learn in the home and there are opportunities to apply for jobs, without having a prior relationship with decision makers.
But, I think that this family have made a good call, with the 18 year old (the third in line) just getting up to speed and helping his dad, his uncle and his grandfather, while learning the skills of the trade. He will of course have to get officially qualified in order to have his business and get insurance to cover his work, but that seems that it will be an arbitrary process later.
Why I think it is a good decision is that for a long time to come, I suspect that this kind of work is both going to be in demand and scarce, as there is a shrinking pool of skilled workers in the field. Also, it is in an area that will be difficult to automate and outsource to robots. I do think that new buildings will increasingly have automation used to build components and put them together like Lego houses, but there is a long legacy line of work to come, with a lot of investment globally held in real estate that is far from uniform.
I have read a few stories from Australia how trades are becoming among the higher paid positions in the labor force, as there is a lack of interest from the young to learn the skills, because the jobs are both hardwork and far from glamorous. But, I think that with the improving "gig economy" and technology like blockchain to connect, review and build trust among supplier and consumer directly, those who take up tools will be glad they did, at least from the financial perspective.
The future of employment is going to change radically in the next couple decades, as automation increasingly takes bites out of the skills that previously only a human could do. One of the companies I consult does a lot of welding work, but it has been steadily getting more specialized and the work of human more complex, as robotic arms and automated machinery has been closing out the easier jobs, with increasing precision. In Finland, there is not only a shortage of high-end welders which cost a premium, there is a shortage of apprentices entering into training, as the youth aren't interested, despite the pay potential.
This is going to have a large future impact on all kinds of things, including the mobility of a workforce and the potential for skilled labor to move, as robotics isn't going to be able to close all necessary skill shortages. Yes, there will likely be new lines of work being generated in the new economies too, but will there be enough work for all of the people who require an income? Unlikely. Which is why the economies will be forced into radical change, with UBIs and the increasing conversation around the taxation on automation starting to shift toward reality.
But, for those with an employable skill that can't be replicated by a machine, there is likely going to be a fair bit of work for some time to come, although it will eventually shift as design innovation chips away at the need for refurbishment and renovation.
I think that while the past has always indicated we have the potential to move onto new things as technological progress fills in the lower levels, i think that this round is going to leave us largely twiddling our thumbs, as so many of the skills that are demanded won't be attractive to learn. Plus, I think that a lot of the children today and in the future, won't have the fundamental skills required to get into these areas, even if they wanted to.
I liken it to creating a culture where 90% of the population are illiterate, but the only open jobs are as writers. But, the AI, automation and robotics isn't going to slowly creep into a field and take over, it is going to sweep through every field simultaneously and offer so much advantage and convenience, that not only will corporations welcome and keep driving the progression, we as consumers will too, as it will offer more of what we want at a lesser price, even though that lower price is because it is increasingly removing our very potential to earn.
There are ways around the dystopia, but that is going to rely on a paradigm shift in how we organize the world, which would have to be organized and accepted globally. Currently, we fight about skin color and minor differences in belief - what are the chances of coming together on something like this?
This aside, I think it is going to be very difficult to be able to predict which individual skills are the best in 20 years from now, making an already largely antiquated education system even more irrelevant. but, from a job satisfaction point of view, I think it is pretty clear what will bring the most value to the individual, as it has likely remained largely unchanged through the history of our species; Creativity to satisfy purpose.
We are problem solvers and almost without variance, when we are able to create a solution for a perceived problem, we feel good about what we do. It doesn't matter what it is, whether working toward a cure for cancer or building a wall - the work we do that has meaning and the perception of a tangible result, gives us purpose and our understanding of who we are as a human, referenced against who we are within the group with which we share this space.
Our entire experience is based on the conditions we face, the decisions we make and how we feel about it all - and I see that those with purpose are those who have the best experience. There are targets for our energies, but I would say that the most valuable are those that are in service to each other, as it means taking care of ourselves in the process and when it comes to skills, demand* means that someone else has a problem and is need of a solution.
Are you a problem solver?
Taraz
[ Gen1: Hive ]
The flipside is that those who own the self-driving cars, and the self-operating factories; will become tremendously wealthy.
Those people will hire others to do things for them, that can't be automated.
Imagine going on pre-holidays for an ultra-wealthy employer. You spend a week in each of half a dozen potential destinations, armed with an intimate knowledge of his tastes and preferences, and report back with your recommendation.
It is an owners world, which is why people who are looking to only be employees will be in for a hard time, unless they start investing into the companies and processes that are going to automate them out of a job. The problem is, most don't have the resources to invest, nor the will. For those who can consistently offer value or at least, the perception of value, things will be pretty good.
It is nice to understand that I can answer YES to your question. Perhaps due to the fact that I perceive problems as a kind of circumstance/test. This means that I am on the right track.
In terms of skills, dynasties of workers in a particular industry, and the inevitable direction of automation, I started looking for ways to use automation to make it work for me.
Maybe there are people who see the issues as challenges, others who see them as circumstances to avoid. Many want an easy life, and they will sell their responsibility to anyone who promises to deliver one.
Your post has been voted as a part of Encouragement program. Keep up the good work!
Dear reader, follow and support this author, Install Android: https://android.ecency.com, iOS: https://ios.ecency.com mobile app or desktop app for Windows, Mac, Linux: https://desktop.ecency.com
Learn more: https://ecency.com
Join our discord: https://discord.me/ecency
Namely, people without responsibility and awareness are very easy to manage. It's nice that there are places (for example HIVE) where people have not forgotten how to think.
For sure, this is why it is important to keep driving the changes through how we speak and act here and elsewhere.
!ENGAGE 15
ENGAGEtokens.Brilliantly articulated!
The AI will sooner or later replaces almost all of the fields and people often seem unconvinced or unperturbed by this prediction. Perhaps the concept of AI reminds us of sci-fi films. We don't realize that AI doesn't have to think for themselves or plot a coup against the humans, they just have to be good at what they're made for.
There has to be a paradigm shift -- I concur. Specially in our political system. With so many unemployed people walking around, it will turn into an anarchy if left unchecked. There has to be government sanctioned programs to support the increasing jobless mass and only a few welfare states are entertaining such ideas. I don't know whether they are enough but the current capitalism and the bygone communism won't be able to sustain a future world.
It's funny and sad at the same time that we don't think of our children and their future. We think that future is far away. It's not.
People think that because there isn't a general level intelligence, we are safe. It is nonsense.
I don't know what the ultimate solution is, but it isn't going to be accomplished through small measures - it is going to require wholesale change.
It really isn't that far away, considering we are at the rudimentary beginning and already showing our fatigue. The AI just gets more powerful, while we wear down twice as fast.
!ENGAGE 15
ENGAGEtokens.Currently, Koreans are increasingly choosing jobs such as barbers, cooks, and carpenters rather than office jobs because of the development of artificial intelligence.
Koreans choose labor that artificial intelligence robots cannot.
Currently, most Koreans do not speak English, so they do not know well about centralization, blockchain, and virtual currency. I can speak a bit of English, but I don't understand computer technology, internet and artificial intelligence, so it's hard to understand the article of @tarazkp.
PS: If smallstep's eyes look mature like an adult woman, would it be my fantasy?😄
This is a smart move. Will you follow?
I have never been to Korea, so the only experience I have is with those I have met on the blockchain or in real life. Those I have met in real life were not great with English, but we managed. I used to host international students in Australia and quite a few were Korean.
I am not sure of your fantasies, but she is 4 years old, so it is getting weird.
Posted using Dapplr
Maybe so?
How did you feel about the Koreans you met?
The Australians I met in Korea seemed lonely.
Americans were full of confidence, but Australians were silent.
Australians were certainly kinder and gentler than the British.
Small Step's eyes are full of curiosity and playfulness.😄
There's a first!
they were nice - surprisingly big drinkers :)
!ENGAGE 15
ENGAGEtokens.Bringing more value is always a wise approach. I thought about a saying of Jim Rohn, that personal income usually doesn't exceed the level of personal development. As I pondered, I grasped the ingeniosity of this simple thought.
So as automation will indeed replace some individuals, it will also leave room for value. Therefore becoming a better person, on all leves, will always be a winning strategy
"What if we train our people and they leave?"
What if we don't and they stay?
One of the reflections of current tech and culture is, "don't change, you are perfect" and many take it to heart - and stay the same, regardless of how poor they feel and their results.
I think that long term is better to offer an employee a beautiful environment in which they would grow. Grumpy employees dislike almost everything around them
!ENGAGE 15
ENGAGEtokens.Plumbers and electricians, the labor markets contortionist. I think they will be in demand for a long time to come.
Yep, there are very few who have the skills to replace them and, not many that want to :)
People thought the washing machines will takeaway laundry business jobs. It surely did.
Crypto is creating better jobs for humans.
I hope there will be a move toward creativity among humans and a return to more direct trade between the things we value and, can create ourselves.