College Football First Look: Colorado vs. UCLA 11/13/2021 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

in #sportstalk2 years ago


Colorado visits UCLA on 11/13/2021 at 9:00:00.

Colorado and UCLA face off in a regular season matchup. Games are on campuses and crowds are full once again! Colorado sports a record of 3-6 this season. UCLA is 5-4 this season. Enough preamble… Let’s get to the preview…
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Colorado Team Defense Preview

Colorado has had 105 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.69 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run , but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Colorado has had shown an inability to stop defenses from converting on 4th Downs and they let opponents get into manageable 3rd Down situations where an RPO may be especially deadly. Colorado opponents passes the football 50.08% of the time.Opponents typically have had some form of run/pass balance against them.
Colorado is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Colorado can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 3.24 yards per carry. Their defense gives offensive lines too much control over them on the ground, too much push from the opposing offensive line. Running backs should look forward to this porous defense filled with poor tacklers who take terrible angles. Opponents have had shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.
This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. Their front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. Colorado has had shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season .

Colorado Team Offense Preview

Colorado has had 98 total drives this season and they generate 5.18 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Colorado is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Colorado passes the football 41.54% of the time.They favors running the ball as opposed airing it out.
Colorado struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 2.82 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has had been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this season ‘s team to bust out big rushing plays.
Defenses are able to impose their will on the Colorado Offense this season . Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. Colorado is a better running team than passing team this season .

UCLA Team Defense Preview

UCLA has had 110 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.54 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run , but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. UCLA has had shown an inability to stop defenses from converting on 4th Downs and they let opponents get into manageable 3rd Down situations where an RPO may be especially deadly. UCLA opponents passes the football 57.31% of the time.They are a team that faces a lot of Air Raid Offenses.
UCLA is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.71 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have had been simply unable to support their running games against their defense. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. Opponents have had shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.
This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. Their front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. UCLA has had shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season .

UCLA Team Offense Preview

UCLA has had 121 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.31 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, UCLA is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. UCLA is an average offense as far as staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Passing plays are 42.83% of their play calls.They favors running the ball as opposed airing it out.
UCLA is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. UCLA can take credit for 3.28 yards per carry. It is acceptable to say that this season ‘s offensive line may be underappreciated, even though the running backs get the attention. The UCLA coaching staff really deserves credit for how they prepared this season ‘s offensive line, but they could be a little bit better! This is a team that is rather above-average when it comes to gashing defenses. The threat of the run forces opponents to play more honest and assignment defensive football is a must, especially against zone read looks. They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.
Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the UCLA Offense. They have had done a relatively good job done by this Offensive Line to prevent opposing front sevens from causing problems consistently. UCLA is a better running team than passing team this season .

The Colorado Roster

The Players to Watch for Colorado

Brendon Lewis QB 6’2″ 225 Freshman

Brendon Lewis put up 1186 yards, tossed 10 touchdowns, and he threw 3 interceptions this season. He threw a variety of different length passes. His average completed pass was 6.5 yards. He was considered one of the most mobile Quarterbacks in the country this season, designed runs and zone read looks are common. His average rush was 2.0 yards.

Jarek Broussard RB 5’9″ 185 Sophomore

Jarek Broussard had 510 rushing yards on 114 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He had 2 rushing touchdowns. He is considered one of the workhorse running backs of College Football returning this season. His average rush was 4.5 yards. He is a consistent option in the passing game considering that he is a running back. When he catches a pass, he generates on average 4.5 yards.

Brenden Rice WR 6’3″ 205 Freshman

Brenden Rice picked up 285 yards through the air. He caught the ball 18 times this season. He reached the end zone 3 times. He was a consistent option in the passing game this season. When he catches a pass, he generates on average 15.8 yards.

Lloyd Murray Jr. DT 6’2″ 300 Freshman

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Colorado, Lloyd Murray Jr., had 1 tackles this season.He was not a factor as far as tackles for loss was concerned this season.He was a non-factor as far as sacking Quarterbacks was concerned this season.

Jalen Sami DL 6’6″ 325 Sophomore

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Colorado, Jalen Sami, had 15 tackles this season.He forced 2 tackles for loss this season.He was a strong pass rusher in the interior this season registering 1 tackles for loss.

Isaiah Lewis S 6’0″ 205 Junior

The leading tackler among Defensive Backs for Colorado, Isaiah Lewis, had 49 tackles this season.He was not a factor as far as tackles for loss was concerned this season.He was among the best at disrupting things up the middle and getting to QBs, he had 1 sacks this season.

Mekhi Blackmon CB 6’0″ 165 Junior

The leading tackler among Cornerbacks for Colorado, Mekhi Blackmon, had 38 tackles this season.He was not a factor as far as tackles for loss was concerned this season.He had 0 pick-offs this season.

The UCLA Roster

The Players to Watch for UCLA

Dorian Thompson-Robinson QB 6’1″ 200 Junior

Dorian Thompson-Robinson put up 1597 yards, tossed 14 touchdowns, and he threw 3 interceptions. He threw deep and medium passes to receivers more often than not. His average completed pass was 7.7 yards. He was considered one of the most mobile Quarterbacks in the country this season, designed runs and zone read looks are common. His average rush was 3.6 yards.

Zach Charbonnet RB 6’1″ 220 Sophomore

Zach Charbonnet had 887 rushing yards on 137 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He had 8 rushing touchdowns. He is considered one of the workhorse running backs of College Football returning this season. His average rush was 6.5 yards. He is a consistent option in the passing game considering that he is a running back. When he catches a pass, he generates on average 6.5 yards.

Kyle Philips WR 5’11” 184 Sophomore

Kyle Philips picked up 520 yards through the air. He caught the ball 39 times this season. He reached the end zone 6 times. He is a go-to in the passing game. When he catches a pass, he generates on average 13.3 yards.

Otito Ogbonnia DL 6’4″ 318 Junior

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for UCLA, Otito Ogbonnia, had 21 tackles this season.He was a strong force in the interior defense forcing 4 tackles for loss this season.He was a strong pass rusher in the interior this season registering 1 tackles for loss.

Qwuantrezz Knight DB 6’0″ 195 Senior

The leading tackler among Defensive Backs for UCLA, Qwuantrezz Knight, had 48 tackles this season.Among Defensive Backs, he was very active and disruptive in the backfield, he had 6 tackles for loss this season.He had 0 sacks this season.

Colorado vs. UCLA Prediction, Picks, and Odds

Prediction: Colorado 24 UCLA 38
Spread Pick: Colorado +17.0 -110 Bovada Get $250 by signing up now.
Moneyline Pick: UCLA -730 BetAnySports
Over Pick: Over 57.0 -110 Bovada Get $250 by signing up now.