College Football First Look: Wyoming vs. Boise State 11/12/2021 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

in #sportstalk2 years ago


Wyoming visits Boise State on 11/12/2021 at 21:00.

Wyoming and Boise State face off in a regular season matchup. Games are on campuses and crowds are full once again! Wyoming sports a record of 5-4 this season. Boise State is 5-4 this season. Enough preamble… Let’s get to the preview…

Wyoming Team Defense Preview

Wyoming has had 108 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.46 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run , but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Third and long situations are common against this season ‘s defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Wyoming opponents passes the football 42.88% of the time.Their opponents run the ball as opposed airing it out.
Defenses want to stop offenses from getting into a 3rd Down where the options are plentiful. Unfortunately, the defense is too porous to limit those choices. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Wyoming can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 3.17 yards per carry. Their defense gives offensive lines too much control over them on the ground, too much push from the opposing offensive line. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. Opponents have had shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.
This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. Their front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. Wyoming has had shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season .

Wyoming Team Offense Preview

Wyoming has had 102 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.8 plays per drive. Wyoming run a lot of plays per drive and this could wear an opposing defense down. Wyoming is an average offense as far as staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Passing plays are 40.37% of their play calls.They favors running the ball as opposed airing it out.
Move the pile forward, falling forward, making progress, ensuring north-south running, smart Quarterback reads, well-adjusted alignments to ensure leverage, and an offensive line that is getting a great push forward are cornerstones of this season offense. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Wyoming can take credit for 3.27 yards per carry. It is acceptable to say that this season ‘s offensive line may be underappreciated, even though the running backs get the attention. The Wyoming coaching staff really deserves credit for how they prepared this season ‘s offensive line, but they could be a little bit better! This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. With a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, breakout rushing plays are possible, but it is not something to count on from them.
Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Wyoming Offense. They have had done a relatively good job done by this Offensive Line to prevent opposing front sevens from causing problems consistently. Wyoming is a better running team than passing team this season .

Boise State Team Defense Preview

Boise State has had 110 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.63 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run , but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Boise State has had a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Boise State opponents passes the football 45.56% of the time.Their opponents run the ball as opposed airing it out.
Boise State is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Boise State can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 3.02 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. Opponents have had shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.
This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense. Their front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. Boise State has had shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season .

Boise State Team Offense Preview

Boise State has had 109 total drives this season and they generate 5.87 plays per drive. Boise State run a lot of plays per drive and this could wear an opposing defense down. Boise State is an average offense as far as staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Boise State passes the football 50.62% of the time.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.
Boise State struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 2.58 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has had been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this season ‘s team to bust out big rushing plays.
Defenses have had trouble making big, disruptive plays against Boise State this season. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Boise State is a better passing team than running team this season .

The Wyoming Roster

The Players to Watch for Wyoming

Sean Chambers QB 6’3″ 225 Sophomore

Sean Chambers put up 904 yards, tossed 5 touchdowns, and he threw 6 interceptions this season. He tends to throw shorter length passes, he’d be accused of being too safe or not being trusted by his coaches. His average completed pass was 6.2 yards. He was considered one of the most mobile Quarterbacks in the country this season, designed runs and zone read looks are common. His average rush was 2.3 yards.

Xazavian Valladay RB 6’0″ 196 Junior

Xazavian Valladay had 679 rushing yards on 127 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He had 4 rushing touchdowns. He is considered one of the workhorse running backs of College Football returning this season. His average rush was 5.3 yards. He is a consistent option in the passing game considering that he is a running back. When he catches a pass, he generates on average 5.3 yards.

Isaiah Neyor WR 6’3″ 210 Freshman

Isaiah Neyor picked up 430 yards through the air. He caught the ball 23 times this season. He reached the end zone 8 times. He was a consistent option in the passing game this season. When he catches a pass, he generates on average 18.7 yards.

Cole Godbout NT 6’4″ 274 Sophomore

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Wyoming, Cole Godbout, had 41 tackles this season.Among Defensive Tackles/Nose Tackles, he was clogging the gaps and playing disruptive proving he is one of the best at forcing lost yardage, he had 4 tackles for loss this season.He was among the best at disrupting things up the middle and getting to QBs, he had 3 sacks this season.

Solomon Byrd DE 6’4″ 247 Sophomore

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Wyoming, Solomon Byrd, had 37 tackles this season.He was a strong force in the interior defense forcing 4 tackles for loss this season.He was among the best at disrupting things up the middle and getting to QBs, he had 4 sacks this season.

Esaias Gandy S 6’1″ 198 Senior

The leading tackler among Defensive Backs for Wyoming, Esaias Gandy, had 45 tackles this season.Among Defensive Backs, he was very active and disruptive in the backfield, he had 2 tackles for loss this season.He was among the best at disrupting things up the middle and getting to QBs, he had 1 sacks this season.

C.J. Coldon CB 6’1″ 178 Junior

The leading tackler among Cornerbacks for Wyoming, C.J. Coldon, had 46 tackles this season.Among Cornerbacks, he was very active and disruptive in the backfield, he had 2 tackles for loss this season.He had 0 pick-offs this season.

The Boise State Roster

The Players to Watch for Boise State

Hank Bachmeier QB 6’1″ 205 Junior

Hank Bachmeier put up 2487 yards, tossed 16 touchdowns, and he threw 5 interceptions. He threw deep and medium passes to receivers more often than not. His average completed pass was 8.1 yards. The zone read is a common part of the offense and mobility is used as part of the offense, but not necessarily the focus of the offense. His average rush was -0.3 yards.

George Holani RB 5’11” 200 Sophomore

George Holani had 283 rushing yards on 65 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He had 1 rushing touchdowns. He was relied upon to carry the ball quite a bit this season. His average rush was 4.4 yards. He was relied upon as a receiver in their offense this season. When he catches a pass, he generates on average 4.4 yards.

Khalil Shakir WR 6’0″ 188 Senior

Khalil Shakir picked up 844 yards through the air. He caught the ball 56 times this season. He reached the end zone 5 times. He is a go-to in the passing game. When he catches a pass, he generates on average 15.1 yards.

Scott Matlock DT 6’4″ 296 Junior

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Boise State, Scott Matlock, had 37 tackles this season.Among Defensive Tackles/Nose Tackles, he was clogging the gaps and playing disruptive proving he is one of the best at forcing lost yardage, he had 8 tackles for loss this season.He was among the best at disrupting things up the middle and getting to QBs, he had 7 sacks this season.

Demitri Washington DE 6’3″ 280 Junior

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Boise State, Demitri Washington, had 31 tackles this season.He forced 2 tackles for loss this season.He was a strong pass rusher in the interior this season registering 1 tackles for loss.

JL Skinner S 6’4″ 216 Junior

The leading tackler among Defensive Backs for Boise State, JL Skinner, had 68 tackles this season.Among Defensive Backs, he was very active and disruptive in the backfield, he had 4 tackles for loss this season.He was among the best at disrupting things up the middle and getting to QBs, he had 1 sacks this season.

Markel Reed CB 6’0″ 185 Junior

The leading tackler among Cornerbacks for Boise State, Markel Reed, had 21 tackles this season.Among Cornerbacks, he was very active and disruptive in the backfield, he had 2 tackles for loss this season.He had 0 pick-offs this season.

Wyoming vs. Boise State Prediction, Picks, and Odds

Prediction: Wyoming 20 Boise State 35
Spread Pick: Boise State -13.5 -110 WagerWeb Perpetual Bonuses? They’re crazy enough to do that?!? Jump on that deal.
Moneyline Pick: Boise State -570 WagerWeb
Over Pick: Over 48.5 -110 WagerWeb Perpetual Bonuses? They’re crazy enough to do that?!? Jump on that deal.