Let's Make Some Money - Stock to Watch - American States Water (AWR) - Time to Get Out?

in #stocks4 years ago

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I hope you got in on the trade I recommended. AWR is forming a Bull Flag here as the volume is slightly below average.

I am thinking of getting out because the big Bull move on 8/7 did not occur with any volume.

The Stochastics still is showing that there is some buying momentum.

I will decide in the next 24 hours.

StatValue
PE32.50
EPS2.31
Beta-0.08
Dividend1.74%
Profit Margin17.78%
Operating Margin27.94%
Avg Volume217.69k
Shares Outstanding36.88M
Float36.39M
% Held by Insiders0.97%
% Held by Institutions75.01%
Shares Short882.67k
Short % of Outstanding2.39%

Positives:

  • 1.58% dividend yield
  • Earnings vs Savings Rate: AWR's forecast earnings growth (5.6% per year) is above the savings rate (2.2%).

Negatives

  • Below Fair Value: AWR ($77) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($28.91)
  • Significantly Below Fair Value: AWR is trading above our estimate of fair value.
  • Earnings vs Market: AWR's earnings (5.6% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (22.3% per year).
  • High Growth Earnings: AWR's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
  • Revenue vs Market: AWR's revenue (3.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (9.3% per year).
  • High Growth Revenue: AWR's revenue (3.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.