We seem to have hit quite a nerve here. We're one day in, and 1903 SWAP.HIVE have been staked. The gerbot chart shows us that the early entrants think Trump is going to win the election:
At this point in time, Trump is the favorite with odds 2.73:1.
If Trump won the election today, each TRUMPWINS token would receive 1.36 SWAP.HIVE.
If Biden won the election today, each BIDENWINS token would receive 3.73 SWAP.HIVE
To get in on the game through TRUMPWINS, go to https://hive-engine.com/?p=market&t=TRUMPWINS
To get in on the game through BIDENWINS, go to https://hive-engine.com/?p=market&t=BIDENWINS
The Meta Story
A lot of people get confused between thinking someone is going to win versus hoping someone is going to win. Whether you support Biden or Trump is somewhat irrelevant to this game. Personally, I think we'd all be better off taking responsibility for our own lives and not have a chief executive at all. But I still think Trump is going to win and I have 100 TRUMPWINS to prove it.
I think this game is going to reveal some very interesting dynamics as we get closer to the end. I fully expect players to shift their holdings as the debates happen, the news cycle cycles, and new polls come out. Remember, you aren't locked into any one position and can sell or hedge depending on what you think best reflects the end result.