Bukele Achieves Break Even on Bitcoin

in LeoFinance6 months ago

Nayib Bukele, CEO of El Salvador, and one of the more public champions has been accumulating Bitcoin for his country.


He has been buying occasionally and in large chunks before. At the end of November 2022 he announced daily buys of 1 BTC:

There has been no further update on that strategy since then. Because there are no official wallets to track, it leaves us with his announcements on Twitter and market data to gauge the position.

Until Today

Bukele announced on December 4th 2023, that the overall position reached break even.

El Salvador's #Bitcoin investments are in the black!

After literally thousands of articles and hit pieces that ridiculed our supposed losses, all of which were calculated based on #Bitcoin’s market price at the time...

With the current #Bitcoin market price, if we were to sell… pic.twitter.com/gvl2GfQMfb

— Nayib Bukele (@nayibbukele) December 4, 2023
If we assume a monthly average price for 1 BTC per day from November 17, 2022, until December 3, 2023, and a current market price per Bitcoin of $42’000, we get $3’6100 million.

Per this calculation, El Salvador now holds 2’761 BTC at an average price of $40’693.

The cost basis is $112,4 million, current market value is $116 million, with a profit of $3,6 million.


The effect of dollar cost averaging into a position

If he decided to invest a lump sum into Bitcoin on September 6th, 2021, at a price of $46’750, his position would still be under water by 10%.
Because he averaged into the position at various points in time, the overall position is in the black by 3,2%.

A difference of 13% may seem trivial with respect to the volatility of crypto but it proves a point.

Dollar cost averaging

Dollar cost averaging (DCA) is an investment strategy that aims to apply value investing principles to regular investment. The term was first coined by Benjamin Graham in his book The Intelligent Investor. Graham writes that dollar cost averaging "means simply that the practitioner invests in common stocks the same number of dollars each month or each quarter. In this way he buys more shares when the market is low than when it is high, and he is likely to end up with a satisfactory overall price for all his holdings.

Source: Wikipedia


p.s. Benjamin Graham was one of the most important influences on Warren Buffet early in his investment career. Until Charlie Munger entered the picture and taught Buffett to not only focus on price, but also on the underlying quality of a company.


Data is based on Tweets by El Presidente himself and daily BTC prices from CoinGecko.

No verifiable blockchain data has been used


Relevant Links

The "Crypto Critics' Corner" has new episode about Bitcoin and El Salvador out.
El Salvador Revisited: Chivo, KYC/AML, and Nayib Bukele (Feat. Domingo Flores) - Episode 76 - 02.06.2022

Peter McCormack’s “What Bitcoin Did” podcast: Follow The Money #1 - Bitcoin in El Salvador - 17.05.2022

Bukele on the "What Bitcoin Did" podcast: Why El Salvador Made Bitcoin Legal Tender with President Nayib Bukele - 23.06.2021

The second Bukele interview on the "What Bitcoin Did": Bitcoin in El Salvador - Part 2 with Nayib Bukele - 25.05.2022

Crypto starts June in a slump and the latest on El Salvador’s bitcoin experiment: CNBC Crypto World – 01.06.2022


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