Great to see a detailed description and analysis of this on Hive.
I found the best analysis here: https://bigserge.substack.com/p/russo-ukrainian-war-the-wagner-uprising?utm_source=profile&utm_medium=reader2
I tend to agree that this was never a coup attempt.
The Russian MoD tried to shut Wagner down, effectively nationalising Prigozhin's very lucrative business and undermining its independence.
Prigozhin would not take this lying down and tried to get a better deal by mutinying and hoping he would get some institutional support.
But no one in power supported him and many of his own Wagner troops didn't want to be part of it.
The lesson of all of this is the dangers of relying on mercenaries (as Sun Tzu warns), but as you note, they were essential in the first 15 months of the war before Russia properly mobilised for war.
The MoD strategy of integrating Wagner troops into the normal military structures was the right one but was implemented in a way that left the option open for Prigozhin to do what he did.
Thank you very much for your comment. The link you provide is excellent. I like how it goes into detail examining the possibility of the event being some sort of Psyop which I don't cover in my article. Well worth a read cheers.