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Yeah, I'm thinking there are regular corrections, but at some point there will also be some much bigger economic problems, and if both occur together, at least 50% will happen.

Usually I'm right with these calls but tend to be way too early. Last month I said Feb, but now thinking first half of this year

Tell me honestly

Would you buy btc today?

I wouldn't, I think it has about a 70% chance of dropping from the current price

I am not a buyer here today, no. However, $48k is a decent spot and anything below that starts to get interesting to me again yes.

So you are expecting sub 50?

Me too

Only way bitcoin falls by 50% from the highs is if there's a blackswan or if the cycle is over... which could be one in the same.