A small likelihood multiplied with time equals always. Think in the long-term. 5+ generations.
The problem lies in the reoccurring of this "gathering" to fend of a crisis, which creates the need to build permanent structures. As soon as you have that, things go downwards eventually.
For example I know a bit about Switzerland, which basically is the role model for how the planet should be organized politically. But even they managed to get compromised. Since about 20 years, the nonadministrative and political class goes nuts and destroys that precious pearl from within. And this completely without reason. The place is perfect but in another 20 years like the rest.
Small units of course are very resilient. There is this 150/5000 rule for family/community and if you don't go beyond that, you can have close, functioning social order in the long run. But if it does go beyond that it'll become anonymous and that sets the stage for permanent structures, classes and war. So either you can manage to stay (very) small while keeping your interests towards the rest of the world, or you will grow yourself or you will be eaten at one point. Exceptions are very rare, especially in dense areas. Liechtenstein, San Marino and and a few other Italian micro nations made it. But that's about it. The rest is subjugated to the old cycle of rule.
In a multiverse sense, yes it does. In reality though, the likelihood of anything will change and can go to zero as the variables involved change.
I would disagree with this statement at its very core. Switzerland is a nation-state, meaning it is operating on an outdated, inefficient, force & coercion-based system.
Exactly. These small communities are the only way to peacefully and effectively organize humans, as that is what we are designed for, and humans need to be emotionally connected to their community in order to function.
A nation-state is a nation-state, and they are all based on force & coercion. Any time there are "taxes", that means someone is being stolen from, and thus not a moral or efficient system.
For most of human history, these monopolistic centers did not exist, and the current trends in culture are all moving back towards the decentralization and communalism that allowed humans to advance to the point that those violent sociopaths even had the possibility of creating monopolies.
Well there's your problem, you're looking at the monopoly game, and the stories it wants people to hear. None of that has anything to do with actual humanity, current technologies, or the consciousness of 99% of the human race. "Politics" is, by its very nature, simply the doings of a small group who want to control others.