Bitcoin (BTC) Morning Update: A Bounce Expected

in #bitcoin6 years ago

SUMMARY

Bitcoin (BTC) still remains outside and beyond the 2 std dev line. As explained in last evening's update, this level of near break rubber band stretch stage is not sustainable.

Here is the 4 hour chart showing that price has broken below the lower line of the wedge pattern. Price needs to return inside in short order to maintain a bull wick. Price declined to $5,934 on Bistamp and a bounce towards $8k to $9k; the region of area of the mean.

Legal Disclaimer: This is only my opinion, make of it what you wish. What does this mean? It means it's not advice nor recommendation to either buy or sell anything! It's only meant for use as informative or entertainment purposes.

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Breaking 6k seems to have done the trick. Might have been the bottom!

It really seems that way, doesn't it? I'd like to see BTC up over $8k next before peeling my eyes away from the screen.

We could always see a lower low. But I think it's likely we see a big bounce within the next day or two

Same story, different years. What do you think about it @haejin ?

2013_2018.jpg
Source: Angelo฿TC

If so we can expect a double bubble just like in 2014!

what happened in 2014?

I wasn't in crypto then, but if you look at the charts there were two bubbles, starting at around $10 to $100 in early 2013, then a crash, then from $100 to $1,000 before the big crash in early 2014.

These are consolidation periods.. moving from weak hands to strong hands. Bitcoin should never be compared to bubbles.

I completely agree with what you're saying, but I still think it's OK to call them bubbles. It's just how crypto moves. It goes up in bubbles and crashes, each landing one step higher than before.

I believe it's a bubble...but so far, one of the least widely held bubble. Most owners are still early adopters...next should be the institutional owners.

I think that Fib chart looks wrong.

if you can count when bitcoin was first born and mined, that would be awesome to see your fib charts

92B392B8-3C01-40DF-A8EA-DCA6F686AC79.jpeg

Some laughter will help through this time. I think most of us, who didn’t panic sell, will be happy like this soon

Crypto Funny : https://instagram.com/p/BeykHm4FyNT/

I was looking at this today. I got a price of 0.005 USD from a news article about a guy who paid $27 for 5000 BTC, I used that number as a starting price for my FIB and the 2013 correction was large against the FIB. Actually the 2 were even more similar. Trying to find if I saved it.

https://steemit.com/steemit/@safetony/i-m-calling-the-bottom

See I can make charts too so why can't I get paid $1000 a post

are they in video format??? and can you do a black background??

Not yet but I can do a black background

That's all it takes for my like ;)... I'm pretty sure the $x,xxx will come rolling in

this is similar to John McAfee's twitter post apart from it was 2017

hi @Haejin. what do you think about Verge?

is this accurate?

2

It would be good if there were a,b,c,d,e waves.

i saw the same wick on that 2013 earlier today in the daily charts actually

The difference is that we're in a larger scale Wave #2, 2013 was still Wave #1, that was just a retracement on the impulse. This is an ABC correction so it will be deeper (has been deeper).

Guy buying OP; you'll thank yourself in 1-2 years from today if you accumulate.

Can we just admit this guy has no clue what’s going nor can predict any more than the next average joe. He’s been calling for a bottom for a month all the way since 17k. Keeps on redrawing his wedge everytime it gets proven incorrect. Has been incorrect on all his altcoin counts. And often contradicts his own TA ideologies like with XRP. First ignoring hurry up and wait syndrome by posting that bottom is near and then changing tact to say hurry up wait syndrome is in play a 2 weeks later when he’s been disproved. He seems to be posting just for the sake of posting which makes sense for him monetarily.

Notice how his posts on altcoins have significantly reduced now that pretty much all his prior posts in last month and a half have been proven duds. He’s been calling for imminent bull swings for the last month. With titles like IMMINENT EXPLOSION. $14 STEEM DEAD AHEAD. None have eventuated and in fact could not have been more wrong. Price literally went steaming ahead in the opposite direction for most of his predictions.

Kevin dude, you're a textbook example of someone projecting their guilt (born of bad trades) on others. You need to get a handle on your emotions before you continue investing, and continue your journey in life. It's embarrassingly and glaringly obvious that you have an elementary level of emotional awareness. I'm not going to sit here and explain the merits of TA to you, because I've done it, and it obviously fell on deaf ears. TA is a mathematical process of elimination and probabilities, it's not a crystal ball. Go take a nap buddy.

@erit2018 i dont think you understand the point of my comment. Im not saying TA is necessarily bs. Im just pointing out that Haejin on his objective record is shit at it. Why deny the objective truth. Why do you defend him like a blind soldier. He said we’d never see 5-6k BTC quite strongly. He’s been wrong on essentially everything with his primaries. Going down this far has always been his last alternate count.

You’re literally fighting the facts. I congratulate you if you’ve made money in this downtrend but it’s clear from not following Haejin’s advice.

Don't feed me bullshit last week you were trying to convince everyone that Elliot wave is inherently flawed and cannot be objectively used. Keep moving the goal posts lol.

Your complaint has to do with Technical Analysis in general rather than @haejin's application of it. All the analyst does is apply the principles as they see fit.

Even if TA has little merit in the practical sense, it provides the user a calmer appreciation of price movements - and in this sense it gives the investor a better starting point from which to invest. So from a purely psychological standpoint, I understand how it helps people cope with the stress of investing. I'm not totally convinced that TA really has some basis, but the point of watching these videos is not to follow them blindly, but trying to find value and disagree/agree as you see them.

To me at least, whether or not he is accurate is besides the point of these videos.

Technical Analysis to me is simply people who have figured out the algorithms of life and are applying it to the stock market. Just like a sunflower builds the fib sequence so does our emotion. Just like you can't argue a sunflower's seed pattern you can't argue EW/TA, it's a fact of life.

somebody who has an ideea of what he s talking about. I need to remeber.

It's beautiful isn't it? i fell in love with TA.

It's absolutely beautiful; it's almost poetic.

No, im not complaining about TA. Rather, pointing out Haejin’s objectively poor record at it.

You’re literally arguing against objective facts.

I still believe BTC is finished. TX backlog and fees really exposed the flaws in BTC. I made more transactions with LTC and BCH.

@kevitos. Hey, let see your counts. How about your ideas on boligin band, standard deviation. BTW. Sorry you are not making money, it's frustration, I know. I am making money, even on it's way down. The difference is that you are completely on the wrong track of learning. You should spend your time learning from the right ideas. You can write a whole book about how wrong Haejin is. Still you won't make no money. I feel very sorry for you kevitos. Go take a nap.

how are you makeing money? i m making only Bitcoin... :) on the way down.

@ropaar are you a fuckin idiot. Did I say Im a TA analyst. Why is your argument everytime lets see your count. Fucking morons like you should die.

I congratulate you if you’ve made money in this downtrend but it’s clearly from not following Haejin’s advice.

Haejins TA gives us invaluable market knowledge that has made us a lot of money. If you just started following Haejin, looking for handouts and still haven't taken the time to watch his tutorials then this information may be lost on you. It's been a tough two months and guess what we are all subject to the market even Haejin.

I hope so...

It's important to avoid subjectivity and maintain a certain level of skepticism. I've done my due diligence, and enough research to say I'm confident it's not going to crash.

Thanks, Haejin.

Similar chart, totally different story. Just because the charts look similar does not make the situation the same. I think many people need this current situation to fit into something in the past. Then use it to extrapolate the future. It does not have to. Bitcoin is less than 10 years old.. most likely everything is for the first time.

I think we are heading in the right direction...UP!

Uncanny fractal! The liquidity was very immature during 2013; for 2018; another 14 month bear market would be unlikely.

Support is at 6k. What is your prediction for 4q 2018? I see 25k.

I dont know about@haejin
This guy is just misdirecting.
At first i liked this guy and started to follow him. But later i saw that he is literally wrong about bitcoin and whatever he says about it. But i still follow him maybe he turns about to be the Mr.Perfect
Just upvoted u @heajin

Post below this comment to unite us like Voltron...

Man, I don't know what to think anymore. I used to follow many of your calls, but they mostly turned out to be wrong. Just a few weeks ago, you completely laughed off the idea of people panicking for no reason and BTC hitting $6-7k. Well, BTC hit high $5k range. I lost of lot of money by following your calls. I think that if I do the opposite of what your call is, I will make money.

@maciekgt3. You don't make money because you are new to trading. Trading is no easy as you think, and cryptos are volatile. If you think doing the opposite of what Haejin's call is, why don't you do the opposite. I am making money, even on the way down.

@ropaar are you as much of a dog in real life as you are online? I bet you’re from a dog country like India. Fuckin dog.

Maybe you could use use @haejin's analysis to augment your own due diligence like he recommends. Due diligence doesn't mean looking at his charts and setting your buy and sell orders based on that then blaming him if it doesnt work out. It means collecting information from many sources and using your own judgement and making your own decision.

...or you could just blame your problems on other people.

Thank you for addressing the truth. Honestly, Haejin has been calling for a bottom for a month since 17k. He just keeps reinventing his TA everytime it gets disproved.

He says he intends to do no harm but he’s doing a lot of harm by posting for the sake of posting to generate income from posts. And convincing newbies that he’s some sort of guru so he can sell them his “tutorial” services for a sizeable fee. Many people have lost a ton of money following him.

Moreover, an average idiot can pull up the 100 day and 200 moving averages and say yeah we’re going to revert to the mean. He literally adds nothing on top of what anyone who has followed markets for any period of time knows.

@kevitos. You comments are totally pointless. I am sorry you don't make no money. I am make money even on the way down. You need a loan? Go learn some more or pay some other people to get their trades and see what happens. You clearly don't know how to trade. I wish I could be stronger in my words to your response

@ropaar Objectively his calls have been all wrong. Why are you arguing against objective facts. Ok money man.... why dont yoh stop boasting and die like the dog you are. Your family too. Dog.

I congratulate you if you’ve made money in this downtrend but it’s clearly from not following Haejin’s advice.

TA is not a crystal ball and won't be 100% accurate. Even the best lose money during massive correction periods.

Welcome to trading...it's not based on a certianty principle. Counting corrections are a challenge to any analyst because for each turn and twist; there are 36 possible combinations.
You're more than welcome to trade on your own analysis. Mine is only to augment yours if you want it to.

Where do u see bitcoin going by the end of this month?

Please do and prove to us. Everything seems so obvious in hindsight.

yeah hindsight is always 20/20

I watch every one of Haejins BTC videos and he has made clear that multiple pathways exist with this being his primary. Yes as time developed the triangle was advanced that's the definition of analysis. Only you are responsible for your trades research and make your best calls. Blessings

How'd you lose money? You made a long call and then sold on a stop loss? I don't recall Haejin ever telling you to sell anything... weird (sarcasm)

You made the classic error of buying Greed and selling Fear. You're just a statistic; learn from your mistakes.

Strong assumptions. Im hodling.

this might not be your area of expertise, my opinion lies with much more use for the crypto is essential to the success of any crypto.

Can you see any areas where we can put pressure to companies to accept crypto?
Also.
Should we try to establish a currency and have it secure? maybe 5 or 6 currencies established,

I was going over your chart and I saw what might be a head and shoulders formation.. It plays well with your thought of reaching the BB mean @ $9k before starting right shoulder..

BTCUSD_6FEB.png

hey that's quite a good find there. well done

Good forward discernment!

BTC go to 3100 please :)

3100 would be nuuuuuuuuuuuuuts

I think 5600 area may be the bottom

btc.png

nice chart! A bounce to $8600 would be ideal!

iamjsunc What different does it make, your $5600, or someone's call of $6000? Let me be very smart, I'll say it will go to $6001.

For me it's good to buy while it's low...

PLEASE DO MID DAY UPDATE KIND SIR!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! You bring my blood pressure down LOL!!!!!!

good feed. u do not think BTC go down 5k?

Marketcap2018.png

Update of my count on Overall Marketcap; similar story to BTC either the bottom is in or we're working on the terminal wave 4. Volume has been declining; but is just starting to pick up - is this THE bounce?

It's bad bro... ! ^^

Capture.PNG

edit. lol... the forcast not your count....

There's a potential we're still on 'A' but it's more likely that we're finishing 'C'. The H&S pattern broke neck line and has dipped about equal length to the top of the head (pattern completion confirmation).

you are right. a triangle can also be the B wave of a correction. But Haejin's leading diagonal for BTC says a diffrent story. H&S even if it's complete has allready changed the trend. So we need something to change the trend now back to bullish.

also :
2

Since ICO's took off at the end of 2017 and crypto has gone mainstream perhaps we're in a slightly different boat this go round.

vid doesn't work...

Yes it should bounce very soon. upvoted!

Please don't hesitate to upvote my latest post : https://steemit.com/bitcoin/@crypto-power/tether-the-mysterious-crypto-that-threatens-the-bitcoin

You were right on your TA, thank you!

I really thank you and appreciate your teaching

Looks like it’s climbing now, along with BTS, thanks for the update @haejin :)

how about btg sir.?

sell btg its not a good cryptocurrency buy ether instead

Nope sir ...it will touch 5500$ before going up...this bounce may be temporary.

i do remember Haejin said that price might go down below the wedge to a certain point but will come back eventually, but im still afraid that this might still be in correction. Fingers Crossed everyone!

wow! amazing.

Is it the end of correction? or just subwave (4) before landing lower low?

Thank-you

It's very favourite post .for all manager

thanks, never enough info!

Thank you, Haejin. Btw, have you tried a new mousepad? (If you use one)...

what about if there are only first and second wave in the last five wave done?

We need positive thoughts like yours in times likes these...

Bull Flag.png

what you say about this pattern @haejin

Thanks for the insight, always good information on each update, somtimes new, sometimes a reminder of essential facts that can be overlooked.

Yes this may well have a bounce but i would rather it fall to $5000 now than have to wait for A-B-C which i think a bounce would be.

Could you please do a update for cvc

thanks for sharing

According to the firm Autonomous Next, the number of hedge funds investing in digital assets like Bitcoin has grown rapidly to more than 100. Since the launch of Bitcoin Futures on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange in December 2017, it shouldn’t be a surprise to anyone why the price of Bitcoin is down 50% from the high.

bitcoin.PNG

Only Retail Investors chase price and buy high and sell low, while the Professionals buy low and sell high. The Hedge Funds have purposely sold Bitcoin futures to get in a better price.

At the moment, there is a war taking place between the buyers (Hedge Funds) and the sellers (Retail Investors) called capitulation. That line in the sand was at $9000. Capitulation is when investors give up any previous gains, by selling, in an effort to get out of the market. Capitulations are outcomes that result from the maximum psychological and financial pain that can be endured by a group before throwing in the towel. The Retail Investors are throwing in the towel after seeing a more than 50% correction in the Bitcoin price to the buyers, the Hedge Funds. With 100s of millions of dollars to invest, we are witnessing an accumulation phase by the Hedge Funds between $6000 and $9000.

The Hedge Funds are loading up and buying from the Retail Investors. But to fill all their buy orders, as the sell orders dry up, price must go down to the next stack of sell orders. We are approaching what I believe will be the bottom of bitcoin at $6000. My first target is $12,000 and my second target is $17,000 over the next 3 - 9 months.

The easy money has been made over the last 12-18 months. With the big boys in the game now, the rules have changes. The question is, are you ready to play to win with a new play book?

This post is my personal opinion. I’m not a financial advisor. Do your own research before making investment decisions. By reading this post, you acknowledge and accept full responsibility of any gains or losses.

bitcoin.PNG

Well noted, #haejin! Typical bull flag.

If we end up below the red lines on this chart. in about 6 hours with a close below. .. it has a good chance of challenging those lower white lines and testing or breaking the current lows. Capture.PNG

You bich @haejin why you fight with my friend @berniesanders .his repotetion on -18 because of you bich @haejin . com on fight withe me @haejin vote me down I will destroy you every time

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Thanks to the SEC and the CFTC hearing today, which went really well, things are finally looking good for cryptocurrencies!!!

By the way, I wrote an article on the hearing, feel free to check it out and leave an upvote!

https://steemit.com/cryptocurrency/@stevensteel/christopher-giancarlo-chairman-of-the-cftc-just-defended-cryptocurrencies-in-front-of-the-congress

Congratulations, your post received one of the top 10 most powerful upvotes in the last 12 hours. You received an upvote from @ranchorelaxo valued at 240.74 SBD, based on the pending payout at the time the data was extracted.

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Good call! It's always refreshing to see the market bounce back.

Anyone think BTC is about to go on another major run in the market?

Or, does anyone think that BTC is going to become less volatile as futures trading continues?

Appreciate the feedback!!

Thanks you so much

If you are receiving this message, you have been flagged for responding to a known scammy piece of shit. Enjoy your dwindling rep. Here is how @haejin supports the community.

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P.S. - His 21k followers are complete bullshit and most are inactive and have been for months.

Thank you Sir, but the Video is not working.

If you are receiving this message, you have been flagged for responding to a known scammy piece of shit. Enjoy your dwindling rep. Here is how @haejin supports the community.

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P.S. - His 21k followers are complete bullshit and most are inactive and have been for months.

Thanks as always!

If you are receiving this message, you have been flagged for responding to a known scammy piece of shit. Enjoy your dwindling rep. Here is how @haejin supports the community.

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P.S. - His 21k followers are complete bullshit and most are inactive and have been for months.

I've just finished writing a post on why I think the price might go as low as 3000$. This was a bubble and it popped pretty bad so the next support line that can handle the drop is at the mentioned level. For more check out my analysis:
https://steemit.com/bitcoin/@drumsta/ta-is-bitcoin-falling-to-3000usd

dumsta. If you are any good, why don't you post it on your site. Why you come there and try to drum up a little business?

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