Bitcoin Price Prediction : Can Go down to 2000 by Dec'19 before moving upto 200000 by Dec'23

in #bitcoin5 years ago (edited)

I read several articles suggesting that Bitcoin price are following logarithm trends. Inspired by those articles I decided to look at bitcoin price chart at bitinfocharts.

I saw some interesting patterns and decided to share my observations with the community for their expert comments.

From the chart my observations from past trend are as follows:

  1. Downtrend magnitude can be 5-10 times
  2. Uptrend magnitude can be 100-500 times
  3. Downtrend period tends to double from one cycle to another i.e first time 6 months and second time 12 months
  4. Upward period tends to increase by 12 months from one cycle to another i.e first time 24 months and second time 36 months

Based on above observations following can be predicted:

  1. The ongoing downtrend can continue till Dec'19 and drop till 2000.
  2. Six months later (sometime in June'20) block reward will be halved which will reduce BTC supply. Therefore, traders/investors will start building their positions from Dec'19 onwards to benefit from potential price appreciation due to reduced supply
  3. So Dec'19 onward -the uptrend is exp

Keep steeming.

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Great prediction and we hope so

Let’s see. Seems logical

Haha 200 000 that would awesome. 2000 I hope not 3000 ok for me.

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For 200K time frame is also pretty long i.e by end of 2023. Anyway this is how chart suggests.

Maybe to go down almost 3200. Hope within a short time increase Bitcoin price. Thanks for this good article.

anything is possible in financial world but chart readings are done to make some guestimates.

lets see.....butanyways thanks nice article.....

thank you. much appreciated.

Looks like wishful thinking!

Yes at times we are biased while interpreting data. So could be.

Great article. I can is STEEM going to 0.05 usd and eventually swinging to 10 usd.

very likely. And if our investment is already down to dirt then no point taking it out but to play the game.

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