You are right in your analyse. Some years back, I was trading equities, and I was reading all sorts of opinions, and predictions. All sound sure and confident. I was green and naive. I listened to them. Well, I lost a bundle, quite a big bundle, and that's the end of my love affair with the trading.
Buy low, sell high. That's the trick. All else... who knows.
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If holo, or hot if you like gets to one cent then I will have enough to go travelling with a nice camera
Wonderful! Best wishes. :-)