BIP 91 looks like it will activate, which will avoid a chain split.
Reference:
I also don't understand the need to label things "maximalist", either. It seems to be as derogatory and elitist as the definition of the word itself.
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If 80% of blocks signal for BIP 91 within a 56-hour period, SegWit will lock-in and a split on 1st of August will be avoided... , a hardfork to 2mb in November is then planned.