You are viewing a single comment's thread from:

RE: Am I THAT old or are you THAT young?

in #blog6 years ago

Thanks @futremind
Just struck mer about the dichotomy of our handles, you the forward looking side, me the ancient looking side of the same coin :)

Yeah this really was one of those times where it truly was funny as the events unfolded, simply based on how each party perceived reality. As you said the speed at which technology has advanced has become so incredible that within a single their can be single iterations of inventions meaning that these "things" no longer cross generations, sometimes don't even make it past a single generation.

As you stated, unfathomable, truly

Sort:  

Just struck mer about the dichotomy of our handles, you the forward looking side, me the ancient looking side of the same coin :)

Now that you mention it, that is a bit ironic!

As you said the speed at which technology has advanced has become so incredible that within a single their can be single iterations of inventions meaning that these "things" no longer cross generations, sometimes don't even make it past a single generation.

Have you heard of Moore's Law? It's an interesting theory that's staggeringly accurate thus far. The root concept being exponentialism, specifically in regards to technological growth. Here's a link to wikipedia explaining it, if its something you'd be interested in reading.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moore%27s_law

Moore's law
Moore's law is the observation that the number of transistors in a dense integrated circuit doubles about every two years. The observation is named after Gordon Moore, the co-founder of Fairchild Semiconductor and Intel, whose 1965 paper described a doubling every year in the number of components per integrated circuit, and projected this rate of growth would continue for at least another decade. In 1975, looking forward to the next decade, he revised the forecast to doubling every two years. The period is often quoted as 18 months because of a prediction by Intel executive David House (being a combination of the effect of more transistors and the transistors being faster).Moore's prediction proved accurate for several decades, and has been used in the semiconductor industry to guide long-term planning and to set targets for research and development.

Well now, you might just be the most useful bot I've seen on Steemit yet!

He might wabbit, he might
But the bot (butbot?) took all my thunder in citing the fact that the original paper stated 1 year and not 2.
That's not usually a fact many know

As we continue to advance the period needed for Moore's law to effect is slowing increasing as we reach the edges of our technological know-how
There will need to be a major leap again before we can move back to an exponential curve versus the logarithmic one we are moving towards now.
Of course, once we have that new technology would Moore's law even be applicable?
More ponderings for the @futremind's among us
LOL

There will need to be a major leap again before we can move back to an exponential curve versus the logarithmic one we are moving towards now. Of course, once we have that new technology would Moore's law even be applicable?

And that sir, is the million dollar question. When you have full autonomous, self aware, self coding artificial intelligence that can think 20,000 years in relative form for every week of human level thinking, you have then reached the level of what we can no longer comprehend. At least, I highly doubt we can comprehend what this would entail, and the scary part, is we are well on the way of achieving this.




source