The chance of a bitcoin crash is greater than 80%

in #bubble8 years ago

The researchers defined a bubble as a sharp price run-up over a two-year followed by at least a 40% drop over the subsequent two years. When the price run-up is 100% or more, they found the probability of a crash becomes 50%. When focusing on price run-ups of at least 150%, that probability becomes 80%. As price run-ups become even bigger, a crash becomes “nearly certain.”


https://www.marketwatch.com/amp/story/guid/6D6CF0C8-D3AF-11E7-8E50-41CEEA71C61F

Sort:  

Que sad trombones. However, I plan I buying the dip :)!

You have collected your daily Power Up! This post received an upvote worth of 0.18$.
Learn how to Power Up Smart here!

One thing I am sure of is that Bitcoin is here to stay. Despite all odds, it keep moving.

@reported has voted on behalf of @minnowpond.
If you would like to recieve upvotes from minnowponds team on all your posts, simply FOLLOW @minnowpond.

            To receive an BiggerUpvote send 0.5 SBD to @minnowpond with your posts url as the memo
            To receive an BiggerUpvote and a reSteem send 1.25SBD to @minnowpond with your posts url as the memo
            To receive an upvote send 0.25 SBD to @minnowpond with your posts url as the memo
            To receive an reSteem send 0.75 SBD to @minnowpond with your posts url as the memo
            To receive an upvote and a reSteem send 1.00SBD to @minnowpond with your posts url as the memo

Couldn't agree more. Bitcoin's rise the last few months has been very unhealthy and unsustainable in the long term, i.e. bubble.

This post has received a 27.41 % upvote from thanks to: @discernente.
For more information, click here!!!!

The Minnowhelper team is still looking for investors (Minimum 10 SP), if you are interested in this, read the conditions of how to invest click here!!!

This post has received a 12.50 % upvote from @lovejuice thanks to: @discernente. They love you, so does Aggroed. Please be sure to vote for Witnesses at https://steemit.com/~witnesses.

This post has received a 9.49 % upvote from @sneaky-ninja thanks to: @discernente.

This post has received a 24.77 % upvote from @aksdwi thanks to: @discernente.

This post has received a 100.00 % upvote from @steemdiffuser thanks to: @discernente. Steem on my friend!

Get Upvotes, Join Our Trail, or Delegate Some SP

You got a 20.72% upvote from @upme thanks to @discernente!

This wonderful post has received a @discernente 20% upvote from @mrswhale. Discord Channel: https://discord.gg/XG4y3mg Be sure to vote for witnesses at https://steemit.com/~witnesses

You got a 11.11% upvote from @postpromoter courtesy of @discernente!

This post has received a 13.51 % upvote from @kittybot thanks to: @discernente.

This post has received a 1.12 % upvote from @buildawhale thanks to: @discernente. Send at least 1 SBD to @buildawhale with a post link in the memo field for a portion of the next vote.

To support our daily curation initiative, please vote on my owner, @themarkymark, as a Steem Witness