Seems somewhat similar to a particular type of sketchy MLM genre from 10-15 years ago... they were pretty much designed to fail, except for a small "expert" group who were able to time their entries and exits perfectly and could profit pretty well.
I'd have to agree that this moves beyond "speculation" and into pure gambling. Which is fine, if you're into that. And even if is IS actually a game, I'm still not sure that's where I'd want to put my energies.
=^..^=