SARS-Cov-2 UPDATE FROM VIENNA
I blogged several times about the Corona Virus, and a good summary can be found on this one
it has all the links on it to previous blogs.
Since March 10th I've been in Self-Quarantine, but did go out shopping for food and a short walk on March 20th. So here is a Update from that walk - I took a couple of photos and shot a video, which I processed yesterday and finally posted on YouTube today.
a ten minute walk from where I live in Vienna - Floridsdorf
20.3.2020 on location video by Otto Rapp
Music by David Fesliyan - "Villainous" - FesliyanStudios.com
Now if you compare the photo on top and the cover image of the video, you might see that the group of 5 police, I assume once they discovered I was taking a video, all of a sudden started paying attention to the people (regulars that usually hang out there, getting their beer from the grocery stores across the plaza). My first observation was that the police were just standing there in a group, certainly not keeping the prescribes "social distance", no protection and acting as if they were "immune" to the virus that our Government is warning about and enforcing restrictions on us mere mortals.
Again today, I checked the Johns Hopkins University Update and found something different in their reporting from previous days. The graph on the bottom right does not show the curve for China, nor for recorded cases, together with "the rest of the world" as previously, but now just one single curve of overall cases.
The orange curve represents China, the yellow curve the rest of the world, and the green curve the recovered cases.
On two previous occasions I had taken screen shot of the zoomed graph to compare. See below:
here I marked in red a significant rise in cases in China February 13th and correspondingly in the rest of the world a month later March 14th. At the time I thought that if things proceed like this, we could see a flattening of the curve for us the same way as for China. But this was not the case as you can see in the following screen shot three days later.
as you can see here, the J-curve for the rest of the world is shooting up rapidly, no sign of flattening down! While I looked on subsequent days, I did not take screen shots, unfortunately. There was a slight slowing down, but barely noticeable. So today, I was surprised to see that the format changed and we no longer see the other curves, see the screenshot below.
this is now a bare-bones graph that only shows the rest of the world, but not China, nor a curve for recovered cases - if they did, the contrast would be rather frightening to see, indicating how inadequate "our" responses were in comparison to China.
This is it for now - stay save everyone - avoid crowds, wash your hands often and follow the prescribed restrictions - if you are in a risk group, it would make sense to self-quarantine.
The rest of the world may also have more numbers than China and many places have not been sufficiently testing. Numbers in California went from 190 to 536 over the weekend; who knows what they will announce today.
the rest of the world is already far ahead of China - and you are right about testing: we only know about those that are tested, which are usually the bad cases that have symptoms and had been in contact with confirmed persons, and/or traveled in infested regions. And we know how many died, but we don't know the "dark numbers", so we cannot really calculate percentages unless we have more tests.
I doubt very much that the numbers in Russia, for example, are as low as are shown.
You can check details out here: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ - go to the list of countries here: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries
There could also be many that have died that were not tested for covid-19. It is good to hear that China is finally getting a little more back to normal; it gives me hope for the rest of us. I am afraid the States will depend on the governors; those with more tests and more positive cases may end up better off in the long run.