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Go check out my previous dodgy as hell predictions that have been proven to be correct. Including the crash.
Just because it's simple doesn't mean it's bad.
I'm not giving any financial advice, only having fun predicting stuff. And I rather stick to simple models that work than complicated setups, that only add confusion.

To try to explain a bit more my idea: Price respects the Fibonacci extensions most of the time. It should had went straight to 5500 in the case of Bitcoin, but it didn't, and usually when this happens it's the end of a cicle, same happen in the crash. I might be wrong thou, don't put your money on it.