EOS Drops! Has it hit bottom?

in #cryptocurrency7 years ago (edited)

eos-logo-2.jpg

EOS is currently consolidating with the support zone I pointed out yesterday. This coin has a tendency to move sideways for awhile before making large moves. There are a couple possibilities here. Let me start with the more bearish scenario.

Looking at the hourly chart, there's a possible bear flag that's formed.

Screen Shot 2018-05-11 at 5.57.18 PM.png

Obviously EOS has dropped, but it's possible it's moved into a more bearish down trend. The strength of the drop from $17.60 to $13.60 was very impulsive. If we assume it was an impulse wave, the strength of it would suggest a wave 3. According to elliot wave theory, wave 3 is often the strongest of the 5 waves. Coincidentally, that would also match up with the chart. We could count this as having completed 3 waves down and currently waiting for wave 4 to finish. If this is correct, we have wave 5 to follow. Using fibonacci retracement, a logical target for wave 5 is $11.46....which would be the 1.0 fib level. It may look something like this:

Screen Shot 2018-05-11 at 6.01.28 PM.png

Now for the bullish count...

Zooming out to the 4 hour chart, we can see a slightly different way to count the prior impulse waves up. It is possible that there were only 3 waves completed and that drop to $13.60 was the completion of wave 4. Lending credibility to this is the fact that wave 4 in this scenario bounced perfectly off the 0.618 fibonacci level (aka golden ratio).

Screen Shot 2018-05-11 at 7.37.24 PM.png

If this is a valid count, a logical target for the larger wave 5 would be $28.83...which is the 1.0 fib level. I've included the sub-waves to the larger 5th wave in pink. It may play out like this:

Screen Shot 2018-05-11 at 6.57.43 PM.png

Here's a closer look on the hourly chart:

Screen Shot 2018-05-11 at 7.15.50 PM.png

Looking at the 1 hour MACD, it looks like it's slightly up-ticking, but also moving sideways.

Screen Shot 2018-05-11 at 6.26.32 PM.png

As I started off saying, EOS has a tendency to consolidate for awhile before making it's next move. We may be in for a consolidation period that could look like this:

Screen Shot 2018-05-11 at 7.06.08 PM.png

Let's keep an eye on the current zone it's consolidating in between $14.50 and $15.30. If it breaks out and up, we can expect the bullish scenario. Should it break down, the bearish scenario may be in play.

BIAS:

Short Term: Neutral
Longterm: Bullish

I hope this has been helpful. I’d be happy to answer any questions in the comment section below. Thanks for stopping by. I wish you great success!

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Disclaimer: I am NOT a financial advisor and this is NOT financial advice. Please always do your own research and invest responsibly.

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great analyis, thank you.

I concur with the bullish scenario. It fits with the launch sequence, the bullish sentiment in the overall market, and new accumulation taking place. While I can't underestimate the shorts, I think there's enough FOMO in the market to support higher pricing and a breakout in keeping with the launch sequence.

That would have been nice. Unfortunately, it took the bearish path. EOS has a bright future though. It needed this correction after such an amazing run.

Good info .... thanks

Thanks for stopping by @tastetwist

Hello. Eos touched .15 and BTC is going up. It means that EOS will go back to .17, right? Do you agree ? OR your chart is still valid and EOS will go down to $11 (.12) ?

I think the 5th wave down is now complete. I've not studied the chart yet this morning...but I wouldn't be surprised if we saw consolidation today.