There is one more event upcoming, that may affect prices across the board. G20 meeting and I heard that Crypto currencies are on the discussion menu.
Will G20 create final flush down and mark the bottom? Trading volumes (especially on down days) are increasing.
On another hand, usually after huge drops, follows long and excruciating consolidation periods, wearing out market participants. Will Crypto world act the same as some other assets markets?
Interesting times we are living in ;-)
https://www.coindesk.com/g20-calls-crypto-regulation-recommendations-july/
All that could already be built into price like you suggest.