It is a global market. It should have its own mathematical function with its variables. A variable could be a richie taking off the market his millions. Or a country that is not a player in the market so condemns cryptos?
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Well, that I don't have an exact answer to since there are so many variables that can have a huge effect on the market. FUD could be considered a variable and even exchanges getting hacked.
What variable would you say affects the cryptomarket the most?
I'm not sure (since I have a degree in maths this is something I will look in the near future, btw, you know of any source of raw bitcoin data e.g. a spreadsheet updated every day on the web?) I just hope its not a misuse matter (with all the meanings around the word 'misuse' that apply) rather than 'interests'... nice to meet you!
Maybe https://tradeblock.com/bitcoin/
I'm not sure how much of raw bitcoin data you are looking for but I'm sure this will suffice. There are more out there that might be more detailed...