This is theory I know very well.
Do You mean HIVE price is too low below haircut? Everything below 16 cents makes near impossible to HBD recover because witnesses signaling HBD/HIVE ratio too high. Conversion system is not efficient for prices we have now.
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Yes, that is very accurate.
Sounds like you know what's up.
When Hive crashes too quickly HBD gets a haircut.