Gestern ist Bitcoin auf 94K gefallen, könnte sein, dass es noch weiter "crasht", aber an den Fundamentals hat sich nichts geändert. Der US-Shutdown wurde beendet, Zinsen sind niedrig und die Inflation steigt und steigt. Eigentlich müssten das gute Voraussetzungen für einen Bullrun sein. Uptober und jetzt Moonvember eigentlich.
Andererseits könnte irgendwann die KI-Bubble platzen und das würde kurzfristig den gesamten Markt und insbesondere riskioaffine Assets wie Krypto nach unten ziehen.
Auf Polymarket wird mit einer 73% Chance gewettet, dass Bitcoin kurzfristig sogar unter 90K fallen könnte.
Auch Ethereum ist diese Woche um 8% gefallen, Gold gestern um 2-3%, aber es gibt auch eine positive Nachricht, Hive hat die jüngste Korrektur nicht mitgemacht.
Bin gespannt, wie es weitergeht, die Marktsituation kann sich auch sehr schnell wieder drehen. Vola.
Was denkt ihr? Wie geht's es mit Bitcoin und Krypto weiter? Platzt die KI-Bubble früher als gedacht?
Polymarket predicts Bitcoin may "crash" below 90K
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When in doubt, zoom out
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English
Yesterday, Bitcoin fell to 94K, and it could be that it will crash even further, but the fundamentals have not changed. The US government shutdown has ended, interest rates are low, and inflation is rising and rising. Actually, these should be good conditions for a bull run. Uptober and now Moonvember, actually.
On the other hand, the AI bubble could burst at some point, which would drag down the entire market in the short term, especially risk-affine assets such as crypto.
On Polymarket, there is a 73% chance that Bitcoin could even fall below 90K in the short term.
Ethereum also fell 8% this week, gold fell 2-3% yesterday, but there is also some positive news: Hive did not participate in the current correction.
I'm curious to see how things will continue, as the market situation can change very quickly. Volatile.
What do you think? What will happen with Bitcoin and crypto? Could the AI bubble burst sooner than expected?
BTC, from my charting, will crash yet to <80k. Maybe from that point there will be a rebound. Seasoned investors don't care much about short-term crashes, unless they are into leveraged trading, in which case they still profit from a crash. They usually focus on the long-term.
I think the dip in the Bitcoin would be a great opportunity to buy some of it
!BBH
Ich glaube, es wird wieder nach oben drehen.
I can't see a real reason for that dump, the only thing in my mind is a potential attack on Venezuela by the USA
It will be a shocker if Bitcoin falls below 80k
We may turn here already (94k), otherwise it may go down quite some more. 85, even the May low at 74k are not impossible.
I think weekly closes below $100K would send the price further down. Great time to focus on the fundamentals and just build. The market will keep doing its thing on the surface.
Interesting take. Even with Bitcoin dropping to 94K, it’s good to remember the fundamentals are still strong. The Polymarket odds are a bit worrying, but I guess the market is full of surprises. The point about a possible AI bubble also makes me think,so many things can affect the price these days.
I think BTC will drop a bit more. It's just a correction, and I think it is just coming back down to check support. I do think it will rebound soon enough.