Yeah, I can understand the motive to reduce massive budgets of some police departments that spend enormous sums on second hand military equipment - that actually makes a lot of sense.
What you're saying is also right on point. There's no incentive for armed civilians or private mercs to investigate crimes.
This idea is also echoed in my comments above about the fact that the profit driven private security forces will be concerned with making revenue. To me that would suggest locking more people up to justify their existence.
As much as there's a real need for change in the current system, I think that ousting the entire police force is just going to create more problems and isn't really a longterm solution. It scores political points and is emotionally cathartic but it's short sighted and could make things much worse.
Speak of the devil, Looks like Chicago has just hired 3 private security firms to help control protestors.
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Militarizing the police is something I've heard has been taking place in the US. I don't really know the circumstances in which this has happened. But it seems strange as a police force exists to solve crimes first and foremost. All other roles it has can be performed by organizations like the National Guard in case of large-scale riots and private security firms when it comes to guarding private or public spaces. Investigating crime is a core task that cannot be outsourced to any other organization.