UBI for all - the future under AGI as civilization is rewired

in Ecency23 days ago

If there was UBI - or should I say - when, at that time I would meditate more and make more art and literature. I'd be the philosopher poet, or more specifically the meditating NFT collage artist. That sounds original and unique, like me.

1000076490.jpg

If you don't do something with all your extra time, you'll go mad. And when our jobs get taken by AI we'll have a lot of extra time. Time to bring out our inner artist or philosopher or yogi in my case. In your case it might be your inner sports athlete, entrepreneur or whatever your DNA inclines you to.

Find something new to identify with other than your job, career or bank balance or status because all of those may dissolve and become meaningless one day soon. Which gives us the chance to reinvent ourselves. Or die of boredom. That's your choice, generally speaking when UBI fees us from the need to trade labor for food and housing money.

Another bonus is that well have more time for each other, for our social relationships, which are some of the most valuable things in our lives. We could grow on those levels, which were stunted by capitalism, which was engineered so that both parents went out to work and could thus both be taxed.

The family unit suffered as a result, as did mental health and social cohesion. All engineered of course by the communists or socialists who want the state to dictate. All these bad systems will vanish under the application of a blockchain-based UBI system. At lest ideally anyway. The human element will always determine the direction I presume, which has has mixed results at best.

I remain, by nature, optimistic about a future under UBI and did some research. Below I've posted the info received from Claude AI LLM, this ironically using AI to research AI. That's where we're at nowadays. Imagine where we'll be in 5 years. I'm so inspired.

The Convergence of AI, Robotics, and Universal Basic Income: Society in the Age of Automation

In recent years, discussions about the future of work and economic systems have increasingly focused on two parallel developments, namely the rapid advancement of artificial intelligence and robotics on the one hand, and the growing interest in Universal Basic Income (UBI) as a potential policy response on the other. As these technologies continue to evolve at an unprecedented pace, we find ourselves at a crossroads that may fundamentally reshape our social and economic landscape. This intersection merits a deeper exploration of how automation might lead to UBI implementation, and what our world might look like as a result.

The Automation Revolution: Setting the Stage for UBI

The Acceleration of Technological Displacement

The current wave of automation differs significantly from previous technological revolutions. While historical innovations primarily displaced physical labor, modern AI and robotics are increasingly capable of performing cognitive tasks once thought to be exclusively human domains. This distinction is crucial for understanding the potential scale and scope of workforce disruption we're likely to face.

As machine learning algorithms become more sophisticated, they're beginning to match or exceed human capabilities in areas like image recognition, language processing, and decision-making. Combined with advances in robotics, these technologies are creating machines that can not only perform repetitive tasks but also adapt to changing environments and learn from experience.

The impacts are already visible across industries. Self-checkout systems are reducing the need for cashiers. Automated manufacturing lines are requiring fewer human operators. AI-powered diagnostic tools are changing healthcare delivery. Self-driving vehicles threaten millions of transportation jobs. Document review software is automating aspects of legal work, while algorithm-based financial advisors are disrupting traditional investment services.

What makes this transition particularly challenging is its potential pace. While previous technological shifts occurred gradually enough for labor markets to adapt, the current wave of automation could displace workers more rapidly than new opportunities emerge, creating structural unemployment that traditional economic policies may struggle to address.

The Economic Paradox of Productivity Without Employment

One of the central economic tensions emerging from advanced automation is the potential decoupling of productivity from employment. Historically, technological advancements that increased productivity also created new jobs, often in higher-value sectors. However, AI and robotics may break this pattern by enabling dramatic productivity gains with minimal human involvement.

This creates a significant economic paradox: the economy could theoretically produce more goods and services with fewer workers, resulting in abundant output but diminished purchasing power among consumers who have lost employment. Without sufficient mechanisms to distribute the gains from automation, we risk creating a society of technological abundance alongside widespread economic insecurity.

This scenario creates both the necessity and opportunity for UBI. As traditional employment-based income distribution becomes less effective, alternative systems for ensuring economic participation may become essential for maintaining social stability and preserving consumer markets. UBI represents one such alternative, providing a floor of economic security independent of employment status.

The Transition to UBI: Pathways and Possibilities

Incremental Implementation Models

The transition to UBI would likely follow gradual pathways rather than appearing as a sudden, comprehensive system. Early implementations might include:

  1. Targeted Basic Income Programs: Initially focusing on specific demographic groups or geographic areas experiencing severe technological displacement.

  2. Expanded Social Safety Nets: Gradually relaxing eligibility requirements for existing welfare programs while reducing administrative complexity.

  3. Negative Income Tax Models: Implementing income supplements that decrease as earned income increases, effectively creating a minimum income guarantee.

  4. Public Dividend Systems: Establishing sovereign wealth funds from digital economy taxation, with regular dividend payments to citizens (similar to Alaska's Permanent Fund).

  5. Digital Platform Cooperatives: Creating shared ownership structures for automated systems, with profits distributed among community members.

These transitional approaches would allow societies to test UBI concepts, refine implementation strategies, and gradually shift cultural attitudes toward decoupling survival from employment.

Funding Mechanisms in an Automated Economy

The economic feasibility of UBI depends significantly on how the wealth generated by automation is captured and redistributed. Several funding mechanisms show particular promise:

Automation Taxes: Levies on companies based on their ratio of revenue to human employment could help capture productivity gains from automation. This approach recognizes that while businesses might employ fewer humans, they still rely on consumers with purchasing power.

Digital Value-Added Tax: As more economic activity moves into digital spaces, new forms of VAT could capture value created in data-driven business models that traditional taxation systems often miss.

Data Dividends: Recognition of personal data as an economic resource, with compensation for individuals whose data trains AI systems or generates value for companies.

Reduced Program Redundancy: Consolidation of existing welfare programs into a single UBI system could potentially reduce administrative costs and improve efficiency.

Capital Reform: Broader ownership of productive assets through sovereign wealth funds, baby bonds, or similar mechanisms could ensure returns from automated production systems are widely shared.

What's particularly interesting about these funding approaches is that many of them become more viable precisely because of the technological shifts creating the need for UBI in the first place. Advanced data analytics make complex taxation systems more manageable, while digital platforms enable more transparent wealth distribution mechanisms.

Society Under UBI: A New Social Contract

Reinventing Work and Purpose

One of the most profound potential impacts of combining automation with UBI is the fundamental redefinition of work and its role in human life. Throughout industrial history, paid employment has served multiple functions: providing income, conferring social status, structuring time, and offering purpose. A UBI system would partially decouple income from employment, necessitating new frameworks for the other functions work traditionally serves.

This decoupling could enable several positive shifts:

Voluntary Work: Without the pressure of survival, people could gravitate toward work that genuinely interests or fulfills them, potentially increasing innovation and satisfaction.

Care Economy Recognition: Activities like childcare, elder care, and community building—traditionally undervalued in market economies—might gain recognition as legitimate forms of contribution.

Entrepreneurial Risk-Taking: The income security provided by UBI could embolden more people to pursue entrepreneurial ventures, knowing their basic needs remain covered even if their ventures fail.

Lifelong Learning: Continuous education and reskilling might become normalized as people adapt to changing technological landscapes without immediate financial pressure.

However, this transition would also require addressing deep-seated cultural associations between work and worth. Societies would need to develop new narratives about contribution and purpose that extend beyond traditional employment. Educational systems would need reshaping to emphasize creativity, critical thinking, and adaptability rather than preparation for specific career paths that may not exist in the future.

Social Cohesion and Political Realignment

The implementation of UBI would likely coincide with significant social and political restructuring. Current political alignments, largely formed around industrial-era divisions of labor and capital, might give way to new coalitions based on attitudes toward technological change and economic security.

Traditional left-right divides could be complicated by emerging perspectives: techno-optimists versus precautionists; universalists versus particularists; or post-materialists versus traditionalists. The politics of UBI implementation would involve complex negotiations between these viewpoints, potentially reshaping democratic institutions in the process.

Social cohesion during this transition would depend on whether UBI is perceived as fair and legitimate. Systems that emphasize universal participation, transparent administration, and clear connections between automation benefits and UBI funding would likely gain broader acceptance. Conversely, implementations perceived as favoring particular groups or imposing unreasonable burdens on others might face significant resistance.

Spatial Reorganization and Community Development

The combination of automation and UBI could dramatically alter geographic settlement patterns and community structures. Without employment tethering people to specific locations, we might witness:

Counter-Urbanization: Movement away from high-cost urban centers toward areas with lower living costs and higher quality of life, enabled by remote work technologies and UBI's location-independence.

Community Revitalization: Previously declining regions could experience renaissance as UBI provides a base level of economic activity and consumption.

Collaborative Living Models: Intentional communities and cooperative living arrangements might flourish as people seek to maximize their UBI through shared resources and reduced individual costs.

Local Production Systems: Distributed manufacturing technologies combined with UBI could support vibrant local economies focused on customized, small-batch production rather than mass production.

This spatial reorganization could help address current challenges of housing affordability and regional inequality while creating new forms of community that aren't exclusively organized around employment centers.

Critical Challenges and Concerns

Economic Adaptation and Market Evolution

Implementing UBI would trigger complex adaptive responses throughout economic systems. Markets would need to adjust to new consumption patterns, investment frameworks, and labor dynamics.

Price Adjustments: Some critics worry that UBI would cause inflation, particularly in housing and essential goods. While these concerns have some theoretical basis, evidence from limited UBI experiments suggests inflation effects are modest when implementation is gradual and production capacity is sufficient.

Labor Market Effects: UBI's impact on work incentives remains contested. Some research indicates minimal reduction in overall work hours but shifts in the types of work people pursue. UBI might increase bargaining power for workers in undesirable jobs, potentially raising wages or accelerating automation in those sectors.

International Competitiveness: Individual countries implementing UBI might face challenges in global trade unless systems are harmonized across major economies. Capital mobility could undermine national UBI systems unless accompanied by appropriate capital controls or international agreements.

Transition Management: The path from current systems to UBI would involve complex sequencing of policy changes. Poorly managed transitions could disrupt crucial services or create coverage gaps for vulnerable populations.

These economic challenges highlight the need for adaptive, evidence-based implementation strategies that can respond to emerging effects rather than rigid blueprints based on theoretical predictions.

Psychological and Cultural Adaptation

Beyond economic considerations, UBI implementation would require significant psychological and cultural adaptation. Our current cultural frameworks strongly associate income with personal merit and effort. UBI challenges these associations, potentially triggering resistance based on deeply held beliefs about deservingness and contribution.

Identity Reconstruction: Many people derive significant identity from their occupations. As employment becomes less central to economic survival, alternative sources of identity and meaning would need development.

Status Systems: New social status indicators might emerge to replace occupational prestige. These could be based on learning achievements, community contributions, creative outputs, or entirely new metrics of social value.

Meaningful Activity: While UBI addresses material needs, it doesn't inherently provide purpose or structure. Communities would need to develop new institutions and practices that help people engage in meaningful activities outside traditional employment.

Intergenerational Perspectives: Generational differences in attitudes toward work and security could complicate UBI implementation. Younger generations who've experienced greater economic precarity might more readily embrace UBI concepts than those whose identities were formed in periods of stable employment.

These psychological and cultural adaptations may prove more challenging than the economic or technical aspects of UBI implementation, requiring thoughtful community engagement and narrative development.

Governance and Power Relations

Perhaps the most significant challenges to UBI implementation involve governance structures and power dynamics. UBI represents not just a policy change but a fundamental shift in economic power relations.

Administrative Control: Concerns about government power over essential income streams could create resistance, particularly in societies with low institutional trust. Transparent, politically independent administration would be crucial for legitimacy.

Corporate Influence: The same technological developments driving automation have created unprecedented corporate concentration. Without appropriate regulation, UBI systems could end up effectively subsidizing monopolistic platforms rather than truly empowering individuals.

Democratic Participation: Questions about political voice arise when considering UBI implementation. Would economic security enhance democratic participation by reducing precarity, or might it create disengagement from collective decision-making?

Global Inequality: Without coordinated international approaches, UBI implementation might exacerbate global inequality. Advanced economies might create comfortable post-work societies while developing regions face continued extraction of resources without comparable benefits.

Addressing these governance challenges requires reimagining democratic institutions themselves, creating systems capable of managing complex, long-term transitions while remaining accountable to the populations they serve.

Conclusion: Toward a New Social Foundation

The convergence of advanced AI, robotics, and Universal Basic Income presents both extraordinary challenges and unprecedented opportunities. Rather than viewing UBI solely as a response to technological unemployment, we might better understand it as part of a broader renegotiation of the relationship between technology, economy, and human flourishing.

This renegotiation invites us to question fundamental assumptions about value, contribution, and purpose that have shaped industrial societies for generations. It challenges us to imagine economic systems that harness technological abundance for common benefit while preserving human agency and dignity.

The path toward such systems will undoubtedly involve complex transitions, uneven developments, and unexpected consequences. Yet the alternative—allowing technological concentration to proceed without corresponding innovations in economic distribution—risks creating societies of extreme inequality and instability.

By approaching this transition thoughtfully—with attention to evidence, commitment to inclusive deliberation, and willingness to experiment and adapt—we have the opportunity to create social and economic arrangements that better serve human needs than those inherited from industrial-era conditions. UBI represents not an end point in this process, but rather a starting point for reimagining the foundations of secure, flourishing communities in an age of technological abundance.

While the challenges are substantial, they are not insurmountable. The same technological capabilities creating the need for new economic approaches also provide unprecedented tools for implementing and refining them. The question is not whether we have the technical capacity to create more equitable distribution systems, but whether we have the wisdom and will to do so.

In this light, discussions about UBI and automation are ultimately not just technical policy debates but explorations of our collective values and aspirations. They invite us to ask what kind of society we wish to build with the extraordinary technological capabilities now emerging—and what kind of relationship between technology and humanity might best serve our shared flourishing in the decades ahead.

Image: https://pixabay.com/illustrations/multi-verse-multiverse-metaverse-7970350/

Sort:  

Discord Server.This post has been manually curated by @bhattg from Indiaunited community. Join us on our

Do you know that you can earn a passive income by delegating to @indiaunited. We share more than 100 % of the curation rewards with the delegators in the form of IUC tokens. HP delegators and IUC token holders also get upto 20% additional vote weight.

Here are some handy links for delegations: 100HP, 250HP, 500HP, 1000HP.

image.png

100% of the rewards from this comment goes to the curator for their manual curation efforts. Please encourage the curator @bhattg by upvoting this comment and support the community by voting the posts made by @indiaunited..

This post received an extra 15.07% vote for delegating HP / holding IUC tokens.


Claim your UBI at https://freeos.io and your universal dividend at https://monnaie-libre.fr/

These are all beautiful and probably correct thoughts. However, the problem is one basic human character trait that about 90% of the world's population suffers from. That is the lust for power, greed and the desire to control others. I'm afraid that in order to fulfill the ideas you mentioned, there will have to be something like an elk reset. So that the people who are left realize. To make people realise what's really important