I only learn from the past by repeating what brought good results in the past and avoiding what brought bad results.
Sure, but this can also create a limitation right? A good result achieved isn't likely the best result possible. I see it a bit like training at the gym. Someone in the 80s trained one way and got world class results for the time, but if people did the same training now, they would be mediocre at best. We can always learn more, improve our process. But, it is still better to do more of what works, than what doesn't!
But even this relies on past events in a way, because it's by your experiences that you can predict a sequence of actions that can lead to a particular result.
Yes. This is true. Which is also why when choosing that future, and planning the path, it is worth looking wider than personal experience. Find professionals and others who have done or tried similar, and also people who have made it and see if it is really something worth working toward at all.