How Is The DEC Token Doing Under These Market Conditions?

in Splinterlands2 years ago

Markets are down and so does the DEC token. Some of the Splinterlands assets hold well in the bear market, the NFTs, but the tokens, SPS, DEC, etc. are following the overall market conditions and are losing valuation.

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The DEC token is the reward token for Splinterlands and in theory it is pegged around the dollar with a 1000 to 1 ratio. This is at what price the game accepts the token for card packs. DEC is also calculated towards the SPS airdrop, whoever holds DEC, receives SPS.
The thing is in the last year the DEC token has lost its peg, first on the up side, and was trading 10 times above the peg, while since recently it is below the peg, currently 1000 DEC for 0.6$. In the last period the DEC has been following the SPS token price movements.

DEC is created as a rewards for wining battles, quests, end of season rewards and from burning cards. On the burn side, DEC is usually burnt for some of the in-game purchase like the mini edition of cards, guilds upgrades, skins etc.
Another way DEC is trying to stay around the peg is by expanding the supply when the price is higher then the peg, and contracting it when the prices are lower.

We will be looking at:

  • Daily and monthly DEC created
  • Daily and monthly DEC burned
  • DEC created VS burnt
  • DEC created from different pools
  • DEC supply

We will be looking at the data from 2021 up until today.

DEC Created

First for the amount of DEC created. Here is the chart for the daily data.

image003.png

In the first half of 2021 things were quiet, and then in August 2021 a sharp increase in the amount of DEC created. This has happened mostly because of the increase in the price of DEC that has increase a lot in the period and so does the printing.
Afterwards we can see a steady drop in the amount od DEC printed daily, up until recently when it started growing again. There was also a few big lump sums in DEC issued. Not sure is this corelated with the change in the game rewards, but we are seeing now more DEC issued even at lower prices.
The get a better representation here is the monthly chart.

image015.png

We can notice the trend here as well, with June having a massive bump in the amount of DEC printed compared to the previous months in 2022.

DEC Burned

DEC is burned for in game assets purchases and it is something that need to be taken into consideration. Here is the daily data.

image005.png

We can see the up trend in July and August 2021, and then almost no burns. This shows that most of the burns happen mainly because of the DICE packs buying’s. After they were sold out there are almost no burns. In the last month there are some burns happening again.

Here is the monthly chart.

image017.png

June, July and August 2021 are between 80M to 90M burned and a sharp drop since then. In the last month there is a small uptrend and the burns are more then 10M per month.

DEC Created VS Burned

When we put the numbers for created and burnt, we got this.

image007.png

We can see the DEC expansion starting from August 2021, the downtrend in the last months and up again in the last month.

DEC Supply

Here is the chart for the DEC supply.

image009.png

This chart probably shows the DEC supply in the best way.

We can see that in 2021, until June the DEC supply was slowly going up in a steady way. Then in June it started decreasing, because of the increased popularity of the game and more DICE buying. After the DICE packs were sold out, combined with the high DEC price, the supply of the DEC token started expanding at a rapid rate. The it has slowed down, but increased again in the last month.
2021 started with around 600M DEC in circulation and ended with 2B. At the moment the DEC supply is around 2.8B, meaning another 800M was added in the first half of 2022.

DEC Price

At the end the chart for the price.

Screenshot_1.png

It sure has been a ride :)

All the best
@dalz

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I want rewards to be high despite the low currency market, this will help the development of DEC. What do you think ?

Everyone likes more rewards, thing is how to create real value. Its not an easy thing to achive, Splinterlands have been doing a nice job though.

That is perfectly right, value is the keyword here, when it comes to anything, as long as it has been given value under its context it should perform well, then it is a matter of balancing demand and supply to be exactly where the developer intends it to, in this case, in a healthier spot.
Splinterlands has been doing a great Job indeed with that and I am looking forward to more results in the future!

the market ha>s a troll on almost all assets but it's great to know dec and sps have a strong community and use case

Its important that players are playing the game

I fear that the increased popularity of Splinterlands will be a hindrance to the progress of the Hive project. Because users will focus on games rather than content.

Which in that case is a win for Hive don't you think? Hive continuously is evolving from just blogging to different DApps with gaming being just one of them.

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Interesting info! Thanks for compiling all of it.

You welcome!

The dec price sure rise and fall fast even with the supply growth not moving at the same rates. The slower dec growth supply hopefully will help raise dec price in the long run.

I particularly hope that the DEC token does not continue to lose value since I have a small investment there in Splinterlands and I want to continue investing a little more but in this falling market I am a little scared to do so

My favourite token at the moment. With that rapid growth, I guess we can expect further lowering of the price of DEC.

My fear is the more the users are getting more on splinterland, hope it will not affect the value of Dec

Splinterland is really doing great and I appreciate every part of it.

In two weeks I have a feeling we will see one of the biggest burns of DEC in history.

What do you have in mind?

4,000 DEC per pack bought no reason to hold on to DEC after the airdrop is over.

Not sure is buying regular packs burning dec.

ah might not be might just increase selling pressure from the company?

Cant tell what the company is doing with it, but I think it was noted a while ago that this DEC is a company tresury. Has something changed lately cant tell, hope they are not selling at these low prices :)

But why? The stop in sps air drop?

Yep so there's zero reason to hold on to DEC at that point and can be converted into buying decks at 4,000 DEC each.

Really interested to see whether this plays out.

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Can you update us on claim account tokens?
For a few hours yesterday I could claim 3, and today only 1.
Whomever is grabbing those is grabbing alot of 'em.

Whenever 1000 DEC is below $1, I consider it a discount on purchases made in @splinterlands
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Good read/analysis. Sharing this on https://twitter.com/PraetoriaDigest.