Yeah when something crazy happens it can break under the curve, but it only stays under the curve for like under a month max. When above the curve, it always makes a return within a year. We've been hovering very near the curve for a very very long time now. In fact right now we are sitting directly on it once again.
Because everyone is obsessed with this $10500 level, the curve breaking above it will be pretty significant imo. It also seems to line up with these over fractals and other predictions as well.