Part 6/9:
The “principle of convergence” suggests that as the realities of war prompt a reevaluation of objectives, parties become more amenable to negotiating terms that reflect on-the-ground realities rather than ongoing conflict.
Geopolitical Calculations
The broader geopolitical context also plays a critical role in understanding the timing and nature of the agreement. The origins of the recent attacks on October 7 are tied to Hamas’ perception of growing normalization between Israel and Saudi Arabia. The conflict prompted concerns and question marks over regional stability, adjusting the calculations for both Hamas and Israel.