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If Putin accepts, the thirty-day window offers Ukraine crucial time to entrench its defenses. The importance of this cannot be overstated; while a month is not enough for complete fortification, it still provides an advantage. In contrast, if Russia opts to continue its offensive, they risk facing an increasingly fortified Ukrainian defense, complicating their military objectives.
The Kremlin's Dilemma: To Accept or Reject?
The decision before the Kremlin is not straightforward. Accepting the ceasefire could inadvertently empower Ukraine by allowing them to solidify their defenses. However, continuing the assault poses the risk of further Russian casualties without guaranteeing substantial territorial gains.