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Should hostilities escalate, analysts believe that Russia might attempt a rapid offensive through this corridor aimed at establishing a direct land connection between Kalinrad and Belarus. Given that Kalinrad is surrounded by NATO territories and largely reliant on vulnerable sea and air supply routes, its isolation during any conflict could be swift and dire. With neighboring states like Poland and Lithuania already enforcing strict border policies against both Russia and Belarus, the pressure on Kalinrad could create a pretext for Russia to engage in military action.