Part 11/16:
Ethiopia’s current crisis is perilously close to spiraling into a multi-front war, a nightmare scenario for a nation already buffeted by decades of conflict. The recent unification of Faro militia into the AFNF has significantly boosted their operational capabilities, enabling more sophisticated and strategic strikes. Such developments heighten the risk of escalating violence and possibly pushing other insurgent groups to mobilize and exploit the chaos.
The Ethiopian government’s priorities are strained. Beyond the Amhara conflict, Ethiopia faces ongoing insurgencies in Oromia, tensions in Tigray, and external pressures from neighboring states. The prospect of renewed conflict with Eritrea, especially over access to ports, further complicates national security considerations.