Part 4/11:
Recent polling data reveal that more than half of the electorate (51%) would outright never consider voting for Reform UK, assigning them a zero on a 0-10 willingness-to-vote scale. This is significantly higher than the same measure for Labour (41%). Conversely, only about 27% of the public indicate they might consider voting Reform, falling into the more open 6-10 range.
Compare this with voters’ openness toward other parties: Labour, the Conservatives, the Liberal Democrats, and Greens all have larger gaps between those who are unlikely to vote for them and those who would consider it. Essentially, Reform UK appears to be at, or very close to, its maximum potential support—its "polling ceiling"—limiting its ability to grow further without a fundamental change in public perception.