Part 3/8:
If Vice President Harris wins, Ferguson expects a continuation of the current policy of supporting Ukraine's war aims, but not to the extent that it can achieve victory. He sees this as a risky strategy, as it could lead to Ukraine's eventual defeat if U.S. support wanes over time.
In contrast, a Trump victory would result in a radically different approach. Ferguson believes Trump would put immense economic and military pressure on Russia to force Putin to the negotiating table, aiming for a Korean-style armistice rather than a comprehensive peace agreement. This, he argues, may be more palatable to Ukraine's leadership than the current "drip-feeding" of support from the Biden administration.