Part 10/12:
The ongoing conflict could ultimately undermine strategic interests along the Mediterranean, further stretching Russian military resources already engaged in Ukraine. Moscow’s ability to project power in Syria, particularly by protecting its naval base at Tartus, hangs in the balance as rebel advances threaten to sever land supply routes.
The Convergence of Problems and Implications
The convergence of these crises could not come at a worse time for Russia, with significant implications for its leadership in 2024, notably as Donald Trump prepares to take office again, pursuing a new foreign policy agenda. If Russia continues to project weakness, the incoming administration may feel emboldened to recalibrate its approach to global security, potentially at the expense of Kremlin interests.