Part 4/7:
However, pursuing a .400 average is not merely a product of exceptional skill. Luck plays a pivotal role, often shaping a player's success within a season. Statistical analysis indicates that Judge's actual batting average is disproportionately higher than his expected average (349) based on his exit velocity and launch angles. This oddity suggests a degree of fortunate hits sustaining his average.
For Judge to maintain a .400 batting average, he would need to replicate his current performance across a much larger sample size. The batting average of a player often fluctuates over time, and thus even Judge's superior hitting discipline does not guarantee continued success—especially as the season unfolds and defenses adjust.