Part 4/11:
One of the most telling signs of Trump’s growing support is his commanding lead among independents—56% to Biden’s 44%. This is significant because independents often sway elections, and a 12-point margin indicates a strong trend toward Trump. Furthermore, a striking 70% of polling respondents have already made up their minds, signaling that these preferences are firm and unlikely to shift dramatically.
In battleground states, Trump's dominance is even more evident. He's leading in all seven swing state polls, with some states such as New Hampshire now tied—an unprecedented development given that Biden won this state by eight points in 2020. This shift suggests a considerable erosion of Biden's support base and highlights the fragility of his campaign.