Part 6/11:
The Impact of Polling: A Nightmare for Democrats
Recent polls, including the latest from the New York Times, paint a grim picture for Democrats. Trump is leading in five of the six critical battleground states, with the only exception being Michigan, where Biden holds a narrow one-point lead. However, even in Michigan, the trend favors Trump, as other states with similar voting patterns suggest he is likely to outperform polling estimates.
For example, in Nevada, Trump’s lead of 13 points is unprecedented for a Republican. Georgia’s nine-point lead and Arizona’s six points further reinforce the notion that Trump could potentially secure these states, which were considered battlegrounds just a few cycles ago.