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Meanwhile, Trump's lead in Sun Belt swing states like Arizona, Nevada, Georgia, and North Carolina is also growing. Polls indicate a consistent 3-6 point advantage in these regions, further solidifying Trump’s path to victory. Given that these states are vital for electoral college calculations, the slipping of the blue wall states is a significant concern for Biden’s campaign.
Biden’s Diminishing Support and Changing Dynamics
Recent polling reveals Biden's support has dipped substantially—averaging 12 points lower than his 2020 levels. This decline is especially alarming considering that, in 2020, Biden's victory margins in key states were razor-thin, often relying on narrowly built tallies of mail-in ballots.