Part 10/13:
The Uncertainty of the Outcome
Predicting the election outcome remains fraught. Mandani’s division of the vote, combined with Cuomo’s tarnished reputation and Leewa’s marginal candidacy, makes the race highly unpredictable. Many believe Mandani’s base is only around 40%, and internal divisions between Cuomo and others may allow Mandani to squeak through, especially if a significant number of moderate or conservative voters opt for Leewa—a Republican running on a pro-police, anti-illegal immigration platform.
Some analysts suggest that if other candidates drop out and consolidate support, Cuomo or Leewa could pose a more serious challenge. But the partisan landscape—particularly in a highly liberal city—appears to favor Mandani’s radical messaging, despite its lack of clarity or appeal.