Part 7/12:
Neil Ferguson emphasized that Trump would likely prefer a policy of strategic ambiguity rather than outright invasion, seeking to deter Chinese advances without provoking conflict, but warned that Xi Jinping might be incentivized to act while the opportunity persists.
NATO, Alliances, and Deterrence
Discussions highlighted how America’s deterrence posture is evolving. Ferguson drew parallels with Nixon’s “détente,” emphasizing that Trump’s policies reflect a cautious, pragmatic approach, aiming to prevent costly wars while reaffirming American strength.