Part 7/11:
Matthew Berman pointed out that Musk once said the probability of OpenAI beating Google was 0%, to which Elon responded, "No, I never said that. I told everyone who asked that I believed the probability was 1%." He elaborated that early in OpenAI’s history, he assessed the chance of relevance to Google or DeepMind at zero unless there were "dramatic changes in execution and resources." Rockets of long-term struggle, Musk emphasized that meaningful success would require billions annually, not just hundreds of millions.
An interesting side note is that Musk’s initial private conversations may have included more optimistic probabilities, but publicly, he maintained a skeptical stance about their relevance without major shifts.