Part 9/12:
Most experts agree that commercial autonomous trucks and shuttles will arrive first, driven by clear business cases like driver hour limitations, efficiency, and safety. These vehicles will initially be geofenced to specific areas, gradually expanding their operational zones. The analogy with cell phones illustrates this gradual rollout—initially limited, then ubiquitous.
The timeline for full autonomous deployment is estimated at around 10 to 15 years, with many industry insiders urging patience. Elon Musk and Tesla continue to work toward deploying FSD, but the consensus remains that full autonomy is a long-term goal.