Part 5/12:
Vehicle Sales: Unrealistic or Within Reach?
Arc's model intriguingly estimates that Tesla could sell 17 million vehicles in 2026—a figure that would be groundbreaking. They assign a 25% likelihood to this "full-outcome," essentially believing there's a high, but not assured, probability of Tesla hitting such volumes. This would represent a monumental leap from current sales levels, with some industry skeptics viewing such forecasts as overly ambitious.